Sporting Cristal vs Bolívar analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
59.4%
Win probability
2.32
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.4%
4-0
3.1%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
5.6%
3-0
5.4%
4-1
4.2%
5-2
1.3%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
11.1%
2-0
7%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
2.8%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
17.6%
1-0
6%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
4.8%
4-3
1.2%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.5%
19.4%
Draw
0-0
2.6%
1-1
8%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
2.1%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
0.1%
0
19.4%
21.2%
Win probability
1.33
Expected goals
0-1
3.5%
1-2
5.4%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
12.4%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
5.8%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0.1%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
2-7
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+10%
+35%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sporting Cristal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Apr. 2025 |
SPC
3 - 2
JPC
77%
16%
7%
|
77 | 42 | 35 | 0 |
| 25 Apr. 2025 |
CCP
2 - 2
SPC
44%
24%
32%
|
77 | 78 | 1 | 0 |
| 19 Apr. 2025 |
ALI
1 - 0
SPC
35%
25%
40%
|
78 | 74 | 4 | -1 |
| 13 Apr. 2025 |
SPC
1 - 0
GAR
47%
25%
29%
|
77 | 78 | 1 | +1 |
| 10 Apr. 2025 |
BOL
3 - 0
SPC
35%
22%
43%
|
78 | 70 | 8 | -1 |
Matches
Bolívar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 May. 2025 |
ACA
0 - 3
BOL
18%
22%
60%
|
71 | 31 | 40 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 2025 |
BOL
5 - 1
BLO
56%
22%
22%
|
71 | 71 | 0 | 0 |
| 25 Apr. 2025 |
BOL
2 - 3
PAL
34%
24%
42%
|
71 | 88 | 17 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 2025 |
GUA
2 - 4
BOL
36%
24%
40%
|
71 | 67 | 4 | 0 |
| 12 Apr. 2025 |
BOL
5 - 1
JWI
59%
22%
19%
|
71 | 71 | 0 | 0 |