Sporting Cristal vs Alianza Universidad analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
71.7%
Win probability
2.14
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
2.3%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.9%
4-0
5.3%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
7%
3-0
10%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
14%
2-0
14%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.8%
1-0
13.1%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.7%
18.2%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
8.6%
2-2
3%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
18.2%
10%
Win probability
0.65
Expected goals
0-1
4%
1-2
2.8%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
7.5%
0-2
1.3%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
-2
2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+9%
+22%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sporting Cristal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Nov. 2020 |
SAM
0 - 2
SPC
23%
23%
54%
|
75 | 65 | 10 | 0 |
| 04 Nov. 2020 |
AGP
1 - 4
SPC
22%
24%
54%
|
74 | 61 | 13 | +1 |
| 30 Oct. 2020 |
SPC
1 - 0
FCS
74%
17%
8%
|
74 | 62 | 12 | 0 |
| 25 Oct. 2020 |
CIE
2 - 3
SPC
36%
24%
40%
|
74 | 69 | 5 | 0 |
| 18 Oct. 2020 |
BIN
3 - 6
SPC
28%
24%
48%
|
73 | 63 | 10 | +1 |
Matches
Alianza Universidad
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Nov. 2020 |
AUN
3 - 2
FCS
51%
27%
22%
|
63 | 60 | 3 | 0 |
| 04 Nov. 2020 |
BIN
2 - 1
AUN
55%
24%
22%
|
63 | 62 | 1 | 0 |
| 31 Oct. 2020 |
AUN
0 - 1
UNI
28%
27%
46%
|
64 | 74 | 10 | -1 |
| 26 Oct. 2020 |
AUN
0 - 1
SAM
46%
26%
28%
|
65 | 64 | 1 | -1 |
| 17 Oct. 2020 |
AUN
0 - 1
SBO
52%
25%
23%
|
64 | 61 | 3 | +1 |