Sporting CP U23 vs Benfica U23 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
36.6%
Win probability
1.5
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.5%
3-0
2.6%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.6%
2-0
5.3%
3-1
4.1%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
10.8%
1-0
7%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
19.1%
24%
Draw
0-0
4.7%
1-1
11%
2-2
6.4%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24%
39.4%
Win probability
1.56
Expected goals
0-1
7.3%
1-2
8.6%
2-3
3.3%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
20%
0-2
5.7%
1-3
4.5%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
11.7%
0-3
3%
1-4
1.7%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
5.2%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.8%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-7%
+40%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
21
3º
9º
6º
19
7º
12º
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
9º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
31 | 31 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
28 | 28 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
23 | 23 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
22 | 22 |
4º
|
0% | |
|
5º
|
22 | 22 |
5º
|
0% | |
|
|
6º
|
21 | 21 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
21 | 21 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
|
8º
|
20 | 20 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
|
9º
|
19 | 19 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
19 | 19 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
17 | 17 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
17 | 17 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
13 | 13 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
12 | 12 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
15º
|
10 | 10 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
16º
|
8 | 8 |
16º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Play-offs for the title
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
100% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sporting CP U23
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Oct. 2023 |
POR
1 - 5
SPO
46%
25%
30%
|
40 | 39 | 1 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 2023 |
SPO
1 - 1
EST
36%
25%
40%
|
40 | 47 | 7 | 0 |
| 26 Sep. 2023 |
EST
3 - 1
SPO
69%
19%
12%
|
40 | 49 | 9 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 2023 |
SPO
4 - 2
MAF
75%
14%
11%
|
40 | 29 | 11 | 0 |
| 29 Aug. 2023 |
SPO
1 - 1
FAR
52%
24%
25%
|
40 | 41 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Benfica U23
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Oct. 2023 |
BES
1 - 0
EST
47%
23%
30%
|
44 | 47 | 3 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 2023 |
BES
3 - 4
EST
33%
24%
43%
|
45 | 50 | 5 | -1 |
| 26 Sep. 2023 |
MAF
3 - 1
BES
15%
20%
65%
|
47 | 28 | 19 | -2 |
| 16 Sep. 2023 |
BES
5 - 0
FAR
64%
20%
16%
|
46 | 41 | 5 | +1 |
| 29 Aug. 2023 |
SAN
3 - 1
BES
5%
10%
85%
|
48 | 9 | 39 | -2 |