SC Covilha vs Rio Ave analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
23.2%
Win probability
0.95
Expected goals
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.2%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.7%
2-0
3.7%
3-1
1.8%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.9%
1-0
7.9%
2-1
5.7%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
15.2%
25.6%
Draw
0-0
8.3%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.6%
51.2%
Win probability
1.54
Expected goals
0-1
12.8%
1-2
9.3%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
24.7%
0-2
9.9%
1-3
4.8%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
15.6%
0-3
5.1%
1-4
1.9%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
7.2%
0-4
2%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.6%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-19%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
SC Covilha
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Jan. 2014 |
ACV
1 - 0
SPC
45%
28%
26%
|
60 | 58 | 2 | 0 |
| 18 Jan. 2014 |
BRA
3 - 0
SPC
43%
28%
29%
|
61 | 57 | 4 | -1 |
| 15 Jan. 2014 |
PAÇ
2 - 1
SPC
72%
19%
9%
|
62 | 76 | 14 | -1 |
| 12 Jan. 2014 |
SPC
1 - 0
TON
45%
27%
28%
|
61 | 62 | 1 | +1 |
| 08 Jan. 2014 |
VST
1 - 0
SPC
67%
20%
14%
|
62 | 71 | 9 | -1 |
Matches
Rio Ave
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Jan. 2014 |
RIO
1 - 0
BEL
54%
25%
21%
|
77 | 71 | 6 | 0 |
| 15 Jan. 2014 |
RIO
1 - 1
VST
56%
24%
20%
|
77 | 70 | 7 | 0 |
| 11 Jan. 2014 |
RIO
1 - 1
MAR
41%
27%
33%
|
77 | 78 | 1 | 0 |
| 04 Jan. 2014 |
RIO
1 - 0
VST
55%
24%
21%
|
76 | 71 | 5 | +1 |
| 29 Dec. 2013 |
RIO
2 - 0
PAÇ
40%
26%
34%
|
76 | 78 | 2 | 0 |