SC Covilha vs Penafiel analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
37.1%
Win probability
1.22
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.1%
3-0
2.7%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.9%
2-0
6.7%
3-1
3.2%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.6%
1-0
11%
2-1
8%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.2%
27.6%
Draw
0-0
9%
1-1
13.1%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.6%
35.3%
Win probability
1.18
Expected goals
0-1
10.7%
1-2
7.7%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
20.5%
0-2
6.3%
1-3
3%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10%
0-3
2.5%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
3.5%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-14%
-22%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
SC Covilha
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Sep. 2021 |
BEN
0 - 0
SPC
59%
22%
19%
|
61 | 63 | 2 | 0 |
| 29 Aug. 2021 |
SPC
1 - 2
POR
47%
27%
26%
|
61 | 58 | 3 | 0 |
| 23 Aug. 2021 |
VIL
1 - 1
SPC
25%
26%
48%
|
61 | 51 | 10 | 0 |
| 15 Aug. 2021 |
SPC
2 - 1
ACV
46%
27%
27%
|
61 | 58 | 3 | 0 |
| 07 Aug. 2021 |
FEI
1 - 2
SPC
54%
26%
21%
|
60 | 66 | 6 | +1 |
Matches
Penafiel
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Sep. 2021 |
PEN
1 - 0
NAC
38%
27%
35%
|
62 | 62 | 0 | 0 |
| 30 Aug. 2021 |
TRO
2 - 1
PEN
13%
23%
64%
|
62 | 45 | 17 | 0 |
| 21 Aug. 2021 |
PEN
1 - 0
CAS
52%
26%
23%
|
61 | 57 | 4 | +1 |
| 15 Aug. 2021 |
PEN
0 - 1
BEN
40%
27%
34%
|
62 | 63 | 1 | -1 |
| 09 Aug. 2021 |
VIL
0 - 1
PEN
23%
26%
51%
|
62 | 52 | 10 | 0 |