SC Covilha vs Penafiel analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
50%
Win probability
1.47
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.3%
3-0
4.9%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.7%
2-0
9.9%
3-1
4.5%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.2%
1-0
13.4%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.9%
26.4%
Draw
0-0
9.1%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.4%
23.6%
Win probability
0.92
Expected goals
0-1
8.4%
1-2
5.7%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.1%
-1
15.6%
0-2
3.9%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5.9%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-9%
-23%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
SC Covilha
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Mar. 2016 |
BEN
2 - 2
SPC
40%
26%
34%
|
65 | 59 | 6 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 2016 |
SPC
1 - 0
SAN
64%
23%
13%
|
65 | 57 | 8 | 0 |
| 27 Feb. 2016 |
BRA
0 - 2
SPC
35%
27%
38%
|
64 | 59 | 5 | +1 |
| 21 Feb. 2016 |
SPC
0 - 0
POR
39%
27%
34%
|
64 | 68 | 4 | 0 |
| 17 Feb. 2016 |
SPC
1 - 0
MAF
65%
23%
13%
|
64 | 56 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Penafiel
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Mar. 2016 |
PEN
1 - 0
GFC
32%
27%
40%
|
62 | 67 | 5 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 2016 |
ACV
0 - 2
PEN
36%
29%
35%
|
61 | 58 | 3 | +1 |
| 27 Feb. 2016 |
PEN
3 - 0
VSC
48%
26%
26%
|
61 | 57 | 4 | 0 |
| 21 Feb. 2016 |
CHA
1 - 1
PEN
56%
25%
19%
|
60 | 68 | 8 | +1 |
| 17 Feb. 2016 |
PEN
1 - 1
POR
32%
27%
41%
|
61 | 66 | 5 | -1 |