SC Covilha vs Oriental Lisboa analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
58.6%
Win probability
1.81
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
2.9%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.1%
3-0
6.5%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.7%
2-0
10.8%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.1%
1-0
12%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.9%
22.8%
Draw
0-0
6.6%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.8%
18.5%
Win probability
0.91
Expected goals
0-1
6%
1-2
4.9%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.5%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.5%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-39%
-34%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
SC Covilha
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 May. 2015 |
SPC
2 - 2
FEI
53%
25%
22%
|
65 | 63 | 2 | 0 |
| 26 Apr. 2015 |
BRA
1 - 2
SPC
31%
28%
41%
|
65 | 54 | 11 | 0 |
| 19 Apr. 2015 |
SPC
4 - 1
OLI
64%
21%
14%
|
64 | 54 | 10 | +1 |
| 15 Apr. 2015 |
LEX
3 - 3
SPC
33%
29%
38%
|
65 | 56 | 9 | -1 |
| 12 Apr. 2015 |
SPC
2 - 0
SCP
43%
26%
31%
|
64 | 65 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Oriental Lisboa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 May. 2015 |
ORI
1 - 0
OLI
50%
26%
24%
|
57 | 54 | 3 | 0 |
| 26 Apr. 2015 |
SCP
4 - 3
ORI
63%
21%
16%
|
58 | 65 | 7 | -1 |
| 19 Apr. 2015 |
ORI
2 - 0
ATL
56%
24%
20%
|
57 | 50 | 7 | +1 |
| 15 Apr. 2015 |
BRA
1 - 0
ORI
37%
26%
37%
|
58 | 53 | 5 | -1 |
| 11 Apr. 2015 |
ORI
2 - 1
MAR
61%
23%
17%
|
58 | 49 | 9 | 0 |