SC Covilha vs Benfica analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
23.1%
Win probability
1.42
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
0.8%
3-0
1.2%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
0.1%
+3
2.5%
2-0
2.5%
3-1
2.7%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
6.5%
1-0
3.5%
2-1
5.6%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
13.1%
19.7%
Draw
0-0
2.4%
1-1
8%
2-2
6.5%
3-3
2.3%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
19.7%
57.2%
Win probability
2.29
Expected goals
0-1
5.6%
1-2
9.1%
2-3
4.9%
3-4
1.3%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
21.2%
0-2
6.4%
1-3
7%
2-4
2.8%
3-5
0.6%
4-6
0.1%
-2
16.9%
0-3
4.9%
1-4
4%
2-5
1.3%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
10.5%
0-4
2.8%
1-5
1.8%
2-6
0.5%
3-7
0.1%
-4
5.2%
0-5
1.3%
1-6
0.7%
2-7
0.2%
3-8
0%
-5
2.2%
0-6
0.5%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
0.8%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0.1%
2-9
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-20%
+24%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
SC Covilha
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Dec. 1951 |
SPC
2 - 1
ATL
53%
21%
26%
|
74 | 78 | 4 | 0 |
| 09 Dec. 1951 |
ACA
1 - 3
SPC
59%
19%
22%
|
74 | 68 | 6 | 0 |
| 02 Dec. 1951 |
FCP
6 - 1
SPC
80%
12%
9%
|
75 | 84 | 9 | -1 |
| 25 Nov. 1951 |
SPC
2 - 1
BOA
67%
16%
17%
|
74 | 68 | 6 | +1 |
| 18 Nov. 1951 |
VIT
0 - 0
SPC
48%
21%
31%
|
74 | 67 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Benfica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Dec. 1951 |
FCP
3 - 0
SLB
38%
21%
41%
|
88 | 84 | 4 | 0 |
| 09 Dec. 1951 |
SLB
2 - 0
BOA
85%
9%
6%
|
88 | 68 | 20 | 0 |
| 02 Dec. 1951 |
VIT
2 - 1
SLB
19%
19%
63%
|
88 | 67 | 21 | 0 |
| 25 Nov. 1951 |
SLB
1 - 1
EST
81%
11%
8%
|
88 | 75 | 13 | 0 |
| 18 Nov. 1951 |
SLB
3 - 2
SCP
57%
19%
25%
|
88 | 88 | 0 | 0 |