SC Covilha vs Académica analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
28.4%
Win probability
1.16
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.7%
3-0
1.7%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.6%
2-0
4.5%
3-1
2.7%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
7.8%
1-0
7.7%
2-1
6.9%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
17.1%
25.2%
Draw
0-0
6.7%
1-1
12%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.2%
46.4%
Win probability
1.55
Expected goals
0-1
10.4%
1-2
9.3%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
22.8%
0-2
8%
1-3
4.8%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
14%
0-3
4.1%
1-4
1.9%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
6.4%
0-4
1.6%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.3%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-23%
+8%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
14
1º
11º
11º
27
1º
9º
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
2º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
28 | 21 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
23 | 21 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
|
2º
|
27 | 18 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
27 | 18 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
21 | 13 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
16 | 12 |
6º
|
0% | |
|
10º
|
13 | 12 |
7º
|
0% | |
|
7º
|
18 | 12 |
8º
|
0% | |
|
6º
|
18 | 12 |
9º
|
0% | |
|
11º
|
12 | 9 |
10º
|
0% | |
|
|
9º
|
14 | 9 |
11º
|
0% | |
|
12º
|
7 | 7 |
12º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
SC Covilha
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Mar. 2025 |
USA
1 - 2
SPC
56%
25%
19%
|
49 | 55 | 6 | 0 |
| 15 Mar. 2025 |
LUS
2 - 0
SPC
36%
26%
37%
|
50 | 47 | 3 | -1 |
| 09 Mar. 2025 |
SPC
0 - 1
USA
40%
26%
35%
|
51 | 54 | 3 | -1 |
| 01 Mar. 2025 |
ACA
2 - 1
SPC
55%
25%
20%
|
51 | 56 | 5 | 0 |
| 23 Feb. 2025 |
SPC
1 - 1
OLI
63%
21%
17%
|
51 | 47 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Académica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Mar. 2025 |
ACA
4 - 2
LUS
59%
23%
18%
|
57 | 49 | 8 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 2025 |
OLI
2 - 2
ACA
26%
25%
49%
|
57 | 49 | 8 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 2025 |
LUS
0 - 1
ACA
23%
25%
52%
|
57 | 48 | 9 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 2025 |
ACA
2 - 1
SPC
55%
25%
20%
|
56 | 51 | 5 | +1 |
| 22 Feb. 2025 |
ACA
1 - 2
CAL
60%
23%
17%
|
56 | 49 | 7 | 0 |