SC Covilha vs 1º Dezembro analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
74.3%
Win probability
2.26
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.3%
5-0
2.7%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.4%
4-0
6%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.9%
3-0
10.6%
4-1
3.8%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
<0%
+3
15%
2-0
14.1%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.2%
1-0
12.5%
2-1
9%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.9%
16.8%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
7.9%
2-2
2.9%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
16.8%
8.9%
Win probability
0.64
Expected goals
0-1
3.5%
1-2
2.5%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
6.7%
0-2
1.1%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.8%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-22%
+14%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
30
1º
6º
4º
11
4º
10º
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
10º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
32 | 32 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
31 | 31 |
2º
|
0% | |
|
3º
|
31 | 31 |
3º
|
0% | |
|
|
4º
|
30 | 30 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
30 | 30 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
29 | 29 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
20 | 20 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
18 | 18 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
13 | 13 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
|
10º
|
11 | 11 |
10º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion play-offs
|
100% | 0% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
SC Covilha
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Dec. 2023 |
ATL
1 - 1
SPC
35%
25%
39%
|
53 | 48 | 5 | 0 |
| 12 Nov. 2023 |
SCP
2 - 2
SPC
25%
24%
50%
|
53 | 43 | 10 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 2023 |
SPC
2 - 0
PER
73%
18%
9%
|
53 | 42 | 11 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 2023 |
SPC
4 - 3
CAL
69%
19%
12%
|
53 | 43 | 10 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 2023 |
SPC
1 - 4
POR
18%
23%
59%
|
54 | 66 | 12 | -1 |
Matches
1º Dezembro
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Dec. 2023 |
1DE
1 - 1
PER
36%
28%
35%
|
40 | 41 | 1 | 0 |
| 11 Nov. 2023 |
CAL
2 - 1
1DE
54%
24%
22%
|
40 | 44 | 4 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 2023 |
1DE
0 - 1
ACA
23%
25%
52%
|
41 | 48 | 7 | -1 |
| 29 Oct. 2023 |
1DE
0 - 2
OLI
43%
27%
30%
|
43 | 41 | 2 | -2 |
| 22 Oct. 2023 |
TON
2 - 1
1DE
80%
14%
6%
|
44 | 64 | 20 | -1 |