Charleroi vs KV Mechelen analysis


86	ELO	87
-15.2%	Tilt	8.7%
181º	General ELO ranking	146º
11º	Country ELO ranking	6º
ELO win probability

32.7%

Charleroi

26.5%

Draw

40.7%

KV Mechelen

Possible results

Probability of each exact result

Probability of handicap

32.7%
Win probability

                        
                    
1.2
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.9%
3-0
2.2%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.3%
2-0
5.5%
3-1
3%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9.2%
1-0
9.2%
2-1
7.5%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.1%

26.5%

Draw

0-0

7.7%

1-1

12.6%

2-2

5.1%

3-3

0.9%

4-4

0.1%

0

26.5%

40.8%
Win probability

                        
                    
1.37
Expected goals
0-1
10.5%
1-2
8.6%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
21.8%
0-2
7.2%
1-3
3.9%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
12%
0-3
3.3%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.9%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0%
-4
1.5%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →

Points and table prediction

Their league position

CURR.POS.

1º

PTS.

Best position

Worst

EXP.

40

1º

5º

1º

31

1º

5º

4º

PTS.

Best position

Worst

EXP.

CURR.POS.

3º

Expected position in the table

		Final expectations
RK	PTS.	PTS.	RK	PROB
1º	40	21	1º	100%
2º	33	14	2º	100%
4º	29	13	3º	100%
3º	31	12	4º	100%
5º	27	8	5º	100%
6º	27	7	6º	100%

See complete ranking Show less

Expected probabilities

Play-offs	100%	0%
Mid-table	0%	100%

ELO progression

Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Charleroi

	1% X% 2%	ELO	ELO Cont.	▵ELO	±ELO
11 Apr. 2025	KVC 2 - 2 CHA 54% 23% 24%	86	87	1	0
06 Apr. 2025	CHA 1 - 0 SDL 38% 26% 36%	85	85	0	+1
28 Mar. 2025	LEU 0 - 0 CHA 42% 25% 33%	85	85	0	0
16 Mar. 2025	BRU 4 - 2 CHA 50% 24% 26%	85	87	2	0
08 Mar. 2025	CHA 0 - 1 KVM 32% 26% 42%	85	87	2	0

Matches

KV Mechelen

	1% X% 2%	ELO	ELO Cont.	▵ELO
13 Apr. 2025	KVM 1 - 1 LEU 52% 23% 25%	87	86	1
04 Apr. 2025	KVM 5 - 2 DEN 60% 21% 18%	87	81	6
29 Mar. 2025	SDL 2 - 2 KVM 29% 27% 45%	87	84	3
16 Mar. 2025	KVM 2 - 1 DEN 62% 21% 18%	87	81	6
08 Mar. 2025	CHA 0 - 1 KVM 32% 26% 42%	87	85	2