Belgian Pro League Normal Season Round 3

Charleroi vs KAA Gent analysis

Charleroi KAA Gent
82 ELO 88
-10.8% Tilt 13.3%
179º General ELO ranking 161º
13º Country ELO ranking
ELO win probability
22.2%
Charleroi
22.9%
Draw
54.9%
KAA Gent

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
22.2%
Win probability
Charleroi
1.08
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.1%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.8%
2-0
3.2%
3-1
2.1%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
5.9%
1-0
5.9%
2-1
5.8%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
14%
22.9%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
22.9%
54.9%
Win probability
KAA Gent
1.83
Expected goals
0-1
10%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
3.2%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
23.7%
0-2
9.1%
1-3
6%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
16.8%
0-3
5.6%
1-4
2.7%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
8.9%
0-4
2.5%
1-5
1%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
3.7%
0-5
0.9%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.3%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Charleroi
+9%
-18%
KAA Gent

Points and table prediction

Charleroi
Their league position
KAA Gent
CURR.POS.
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
37
14º
45
12º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
Expected position in the table
Current table Final expectations
RK PTS. PTS. RK PROB
Genk
68
68
100%
Club Brugge
59
59
100%
Union Saint-Gilloise
55
55
100%
Anderlecht
51
51
100%
Antwerp
46
46
100%
KAA Gent
45
45
100%
Standard de Liège
39
39
100%
KV Mechelen
38
38
100%
Charleroi
37
37
0%
KVC Westerlo
10º
35
37
10º
0%
OH Leuven
11º
35
37
11º
0%
Cercle Brugge
13º
32
32
12º
0%
FCV Dender
12º
32
32
13º
0%
Sint-Truidense VV
14º
32
31
14º
100%
KV Kortrijk
15º
26
26
15º
100%
Beerschot VA
16º
19
18
16º
100%
Expected probabilities
Charleroi
KAA Gent
Play-offs for the title
0% 100%
Next round
100% 0%
Relegation play-offs
0% 0%

ELO progression

Charleroi
KAA Gent
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Charleroi
Charleroi
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
04 Aug. 2024
FBO
Francs Borains
1 - 2
Charleroi
CHA
13%
18%
69%
82 62 20 0
03 Aug. 2024
STR
Sint-Truidense VV
1 - 4
Charleroi
CHA
40%
26%
34%
81 83 2 +1
28 Jul. 2024
CHA
Charleroi
0 - 1
Antwerp
ANT
27%
26%
47%
81 88 7 0
13 Jul. 2024
CHA
Charleroi
2 - 0
Zulte-Waregem
ZUL
49%
23%
27%
81 76 5 0
06 Jul. 2024
GNK
Genk
3 - 3
Charleroi
CHA
64%
20%
16%
81 88 7 0

Matches

KAA Gent
KAA Gent
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
08 Aug. 2024
SIF
Silkeborg IF
2 - 2
KAA Gent
GEN
27%
23%
51%
88 80 8 0
04 Aug. 2024
GEN
KAA Gent
1 - 2
FCV Dender
DEN
69%
19%
12%
88 76 12 0
01 Aug. 2024
VIK
Víkingur
0 - 3
KAA Gent
GEN
22%
21%
57%
88 72 16 0
28 Jul. 2024
KVK
KV Kortrijk
0 - 1
KAA Gent
GEN
17%
21%
63%
88 75 13 0
25 Jul. 2024
GEN
KAA Gent
4 - 1
Víkingur
VIK
73%
17%
10%
88 73 15 0