Charleroi vs Excelsior Mouscron analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
51.1%
Win probability
1.54
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.6%
3-0
5.1%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.2%
2-0
9.8%
3-1
4.8%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.6%
1-0
12.8%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.7%
25.6%
Draw
0-0
8.3%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.6%
23.3%
Win probability
0.95
Expected goals
0-1
7.9%
1-2
5.8%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
15.2%
0-2
3.7%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5.9%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Charleroi
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Apr. 2009 |
BRU
2 - 1
CHA
65%
21%
14%
|
73 | 81 | 8 | 0 |
| 22 Mar. 2009 |
CHA
1 - 0
SDL
25%
26%
48%
|
72 | 86 | 14 | +1 |
| 14 Mar. 2009 |
LOK
0 - 0
CHA
43%
28%
29%
|
72 | 71 | 1 | 0 |
| 07 Mar. 2009 |
CHA
0 - 0
45%
27%
28%
|
72 | 77 | 5 | 0 |
| 28 Feb. 2009 |
CHA
3 - 0
MON
61%
23%
16%
|
71 | 66 | 5 | +1 |
Matches
Excelsior Mouscron
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Apr. 2009 |
EXC
3 - 2
MON
64%
22%
14%
|
71 | 63 | 8 | 0 |
| 21 Mar. 2009 |
CER
0 - 1
EXC
54%
25%
21%
|
71 | 75 | 4 | 0 |
| 14 Mar. 2009 |
EXC
1 - 0
KVK
46%
26%
28%
|
70 | 73 | 3 | +1 |
| 07 Mar. 2009 |
KSV
2 - 0
EXC
45%
26%
29%
|
71 | 66 | 5 | -1 |
| 28 Feb. 2009 |
EXC
1 - 1
AND
23%
25%
53%
|
71 | 88 | 17 | 0 |