Sporting Celanova vs Ponte Ourense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
38%
Win probability
1.49
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.6%
3-0
2.8%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.8%
2-0
5.7%
3-1
4.2%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
11.2%
1-0
7.7%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
19.8%
24.5%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.5%
37.5%
Win probability
1.48
Expected goals
0-1
7.6%
1-2
8.4%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
19.7%
0-2
5.6%
1-3
4.1%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
11.1%
0-3
2.8%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4.7%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.6%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sporting Celanova
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Jan. 2009 |
CAS
0 - 2
SPO
76%
15%
10%
|
14 | 20 | 6 | 0 |
| 11 Jan. 2009 |
RIB
3 - 1
SPO
65%
20%
15%
|
15 | 20 | 5 | -1 |
| 04 Jan. 2009 |
SPO
2 - 2
ATO
40%
24%
36%
|
15 | 15 | 0 | 0 |
| 21 Dec. 2008 |
EST
1 - 0
SPO
70%
18%
12%
|
15 | 23 | 8 | 0 |
| 14 Dec. 2008 |
SPO
3 - 1
OGR
31%
25%
45%
|
14 | 18 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
Ponte Ourense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Jan. 2009 |
PON
1 - 1
BAR
53%
23%
24%
|
17 | 17 | 0 | 0 |
| 04 Jan. 2009 |
ARE
4 - 1
PON
61%
21%
18%
|
18 | 24 | 6 | -1 |
| 21 Dec. 2008 |
PON
1 - 2
PON
57%
22%
21%
|
18 | 17 | 1 | 0 |
| 14 Dec. 2008 |
CUL
4 - 2
PON
43%
24%
33%
|
19 | 18 | 1 | -1 |
| 06 Dec. 2008 |
PON
1 - 1
MEL
73%
17%
10%
|
19 | 12 | 7 | 0 |