Sporting Celanova vs Malgrat analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
34%
Win probability
1.33
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.1%
3-0
2.4%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.8%
2-0
5.3%
3-1
3.5%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9.8%
1-0
8%
2-1
7.9%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.9%
25.1%
Draw
0-0
6%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
25.1%
40.9%
Win probability
1.48
Expected goals
0-1
8.9%
1-2
8.8%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
21.1%
0-2
6.6%
1-3
4.3%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
12.2%
0-3
3.3%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
5.2%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.8%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sporting Celanova
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Sep. 1977 |
DEP
2 - 1
SPO
88%
8%
4%
|
21 | 35 | 14 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 1977 |
SPO
2 - 1
AVI
22%
24%
54%
|
18 | 41 | 23 | +3 |
| 14 Sep. 1977 |
CDM
0 - 0
SPO
85%
11%
5%
|
17 | 29 | 12 | +1 |
| 11 Sep. 1977 |
SPO
0 - 0
CAM
45%
23%
31%
|
17 | 22 | 5 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 1977 |
NOI
0 - 0
SPO
71%
16%
13%
|
17 | 18 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Malgrat
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Sep. 1977 |
REU
3 - 1
CDM
81%
12%
7%
|
32 | 41 | 9 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 1977 |
CDM
2 - 0
AND
39%
24%
37%
|
29 | 40 | 11 | +3 |
| 14 Sep. 1977 |
CDM
0 - 0
SPO
85%
11%
5%
|
29 | 17 | 12 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 1977 |
MON
0 - 0
CDM
56%
21%
23%
|
29 | 25 | 4 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 1977 |
CDM
3 - 0
VIC
74%
15%
11%
|
28 | 25 | 3 | +1 |