Taça de Portugal . Semi-finals
Global 4-1
Sporting Braga vs Rio Ave analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
68.7%
Win probability
1.95
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.8%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.2%
4-0
4.6%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
5.8%
3-0
9.4%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
12.6%
2-0
14.4%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.3%
1-0
14.7%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.9%
20.1%
Draw
0-0
7.5%
1-1
9.3%
2-2
2.9%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
20.1%
11.1%
Win probability
0.63
Expected goals
0-1
4.8%
1-2
2.9%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
8.4%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
-2
2.2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sporting Braga
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Apr. 2015 |
GFC
0 - 2
SPB
20%
25%
56%
|
85 | 67 | 18 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 2015 |
SPB
0 - 0
ACA
73%
18%
9%
|
85 | 70 | 15 | 0 |
| 14 Mar. 2015 |
SLB
2 - 0
SPB
56%
23%
21%
|
86 | 88 | 2 | -1 |
| 06 Mar. 2015 |
SPB
0 - 1
FCP
36%
25%
39%
|
85 | 88 | 3 | +1 |
| 28 Feb. 2015 |
RIO
0 - 2
SPB
22%
25%
53%
|
86 | 74 | 12 | -1 |
Matches
Rio Ave
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Apr. 2015 |
ACA
0 - 0
RIO
36%
30%
33%
|
74 | 70 | 4 | 0 |
| 21 Mar. 2015 |
RIO
2 - 1
SLB
18%
24%
58%
|
74 | 87 | 13 | 0 |
| 15 Mar. 2015 |
PEN
0 - 2
RIO
32%
29%
39%
|
74 | 63 | 11 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 2015 |
RIO
1 - 1
NAC
35%
27%
38%
|
75 | 78 | 3 | -1 |
| 28 Feb. 2015 |
RIO
0 - 2
SPB
22%
25%
53%
|
74 | 86 | 12 | +1 |