Q. Europa League Playoffs Final
Global 4-3
Sporting Braga vs Rapid Wien analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
65.1%
Win probability
2.18
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
1.8%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.5%
4-0
4.1%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.1%
3-0
7.5%
4-1
3.9%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.3%
2-0
10.2%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.6%
1-0
9.4%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.4%
19.4%
Draw
0-0
4.3%
1-1
9%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
19.4%
15.5%
Win probability
0.96
Expected goals
0-1
4.1%
1-2
4.4%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
10.3%
0-2
2%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
3.8%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
+8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sporting Braga
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Aug. 2024 |
BOA
0 - 1
SPB
16%
19%
65%
|
88 | 75 | 13 | 0 |
| 15 Aug. 2024 |
SER
1 - 2
SPB
23%
22%
55%
|
88 | 84 | 4 | 0 |
| 11 Aug. 2024 |
SPB
1 - 1
ESA
75%
17%
9%
|
88 | 69 | 19 | 0 |
| 08 Aug. 2024 |
SPB
0 - 0
SER
63%
20%
17%
|
89 | 84 | 5 | -1 |
| 01 Aug. 2024 |
MPT
0 - 5
SPB
15%
18%
67%
|
88 | 79 | 9 | +1 |
Matches
Rapid Wien
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Aug. 2024 |
RAP
2 - 0
WAT
47%
24%
29%
|
81 | 78 | 3 | 0 |
| 15 Aug. 2024 |
RAP
2 - 0
TRA
33%
24%
43%
|
80 | 85 | 5 | +1 |
| 11 Aug. 2024 |
SKA
1 - 1
RAP
46%
23%
31%
|
81 | 80 | 1 | -1 |
| 08 Aug. 2024 |
TRA
0 - 1
RAP
62%
20%
19%
|
81 | 86 | 5 | 0 |
| 04 Aug. 2024 |
RAP
1 - 0
STR
42%
24%
34%
|
81 | 81 | 0 | 0 |