Sporting Braga vs Naval analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
63.7%
Win probability
1.81
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.6%
4-0
3.6%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.6%
3-0
8%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.9%
2-0
13.2%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.8%
1-0
14.6%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
26.2%
22.2%
Draw
0-0
8.1%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
3.3%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
22.2%
14.1%
Win probability
0.71
Expected goals
0-1
5.7%
1-2
3.7%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
10.2%
0-2
2%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sporting Braga
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Sep. 2008 |
LEX
2 - 0
SPB
28%
29%
43%
|
83 | 70 | 13 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 2008 |
SPB
4 - 0
PET
52%
24%
24%
|
82 | 78 | 4 | +1 |
| 01 Sep. 2008 |
SPB
0 - 1
SCP
28%
27%
45%
|
82 | 88 | 6 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 2008 |
ZRI
0 - 2
SPB
52%
24%
24%
|
81 | 78 | 3 | +1 |
| 23 Aug. 2008 |
PAÇ
0 - 2
SPB
34%
29%
38%
|
81 | 70 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
Naval
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Sep. 2008 |
NAV
3 - 1
TRO
58%
25%
18%
|
70 | 66 | 4 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 2008 |
NAC
2 - 1
NAV
56%
24%
20%
|
70 | 75 | 5 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 2008 |
NAV
1 - 0
MAR
40%
28%
33%
|
69 | 76 | 7 | +1 |
| 17 Aug. 2008 |
NAV
3 - 2
EST
58%
23%
19%
|
68 | 62 | 6 | +1 |
| 10 May. 2008 |
NAV
0 - 2
FCP
18%
24%
57%
|
69 | 88 | 19 | -1 |