Sporting Braga vs Naval analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
60.2%
Win probability
1.76
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
3.1%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4%
3-0
7%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.9%
2-0
12%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.7%
1-0
13.7%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.8%
23.1%
Draw
0-0
7.8%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.1%
16.6%
Win probability
0.8
Expected goals
0-1
6.2%
1-2
4.3%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
11.7%
0-2
2.5%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.8%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sporting Braga
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Mar. 2008 |
NAC
0 - 1
SPB
44%
28%
29%
|
80 | 75 | 5 | 0 |
| 29 Feb. 2008 |
SPB
0 - 0
VIT
56%
25%
20%
|
80 | 76 | 4 | 0 |
| 24 Feb. 2008 |
SLB
1 - 1
SPB
64%
23%
13%
|
80 | 88 | 8 | 0 |
| 21 Feb. 2008 |
SPB
0 - 1
BRE
23%
24%
53%
|
80 | 88 | 8 | 0 |
| 17 Feb. 2008 |
SPB
2 - 3
VST
56%
25%
20%
|
80 | 77 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Naval
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Mar. 2008 |
NAV
2 - 1
LEX
46%
27%
26%
|
68 | 71 | 3 | 0 |
| 02 Mar. 2008 |
NAV
1 - 1
NAC
42%
28%
30%
|
68 | 75 | 7 | 0 |
| 27 Feb. 2008 |
NAV
1 - 2
VST
37%
27%
37%
|
69 | 78 | 9 | -1 |
| 22 Feb. 2008 |
VIT
1 - 0
NAV
56%
25%
19%
|
70 | 75 | 5 | -1 |
| 17 Feb. 2008 |
NAV
0 - 2
SLB
18%
24%
58%
|
70 | 88 | 18 | 0 |