Sporting Braga vs Porto analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
45.3%
Win probability
1.59
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.3%
3-0
3.9%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.3%
2-0
7.3%
3-1
4.9%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.7%
1-0
9.2%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.1%
24.6%
Draw
0-0
5.8%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.6%
30.1%
Win probability
1.26
Expected goals
0-1
7.3%
1-2
7.3%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
17.4%
0-2
4.6%
1-3
3%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.5%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.1%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
66
3º
9º
4º
71
1º
4º
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
3º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
82 | 82 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
80 | 80 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
|
3º
|
71 | 71 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
|
4º
|
66 | 66 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
57 | 57 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
54 | 54 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
47 | 47 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
46 | 46 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
45 | 45 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
40 | 40 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
38 | 38 |
11º
|
0% | |
|
11º
|
38 | 38 |
12º
|
0% | |
|
13º
|
34 | 34 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
34 | 34 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
15º
|
29 | 29 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
17º
|
27 | 27 |
16º
|
100% | |
|
16º
|
27 | 27 |
17º
|
100% | |
|
18º
|
24 | 24 |
18º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champions League
|
0% | 0% |
|
Champions League qualifying phase
|
0% | 0% |
|
Europa League
|
0% | 100% |
|
Europa League qualifying phase
|
100% | 0% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sporting Braga
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Mar. 2025 |
RIO
2 - 1
SPB
28%
24%
48%
|
88 | 82 | 6 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 2025 |
SLB
1 - 0
SPB
52%
22%
26%
|
88 | 88 | 0 | 0 |
| 21 Feb. 2025 |
SPB
1 - 0
NAC
68%
19%
13%
|
88 | 79 | 9 | 0 |
| 16 Feb. 2025 |
VIT
0 - 0
SPB
42%
24%
33%
|
88 | 88 | 0 | 0 |
| 09 Feb. 2025 |
SPB
2 - 0
GFC
69%
19%
12%
|
89 | 81 | 8 | -1 |
Matches
Porto
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Mar. 2025 |
ARO
0 - 2
FCP
26%
25%
49%
|
88 | 82 | 6 | 0 |
| 24 Feb. 2025 |
FCP
1 - 1
VIT
49%
25%
27%
|
88 | 88 | 0 | 0 |
| 20 Feb. 2025 |
ROM
3 - 2
FCP
74%
16%
10%
|
88 | 96 | 8 | 0 |
| 16 Feb. 2025 |
FAR
0 - 1
FCP
23%
24%
53%
|
88 | 77 | 11 | 0 |
| 13 Feb. 2025 |
FCP
1 - 1
ROM
23%
25%
51%
|
89 | 96 | 7 | -1 |