Sporting Braga vs Porto analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
37.6%
Win probability
1.57
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.7%
3-0
2.7%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
0.1%
+3
4.9%
2-0
5.2%
3-1
4.3%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
11.1%
1-0
6.6%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
19.2%
23.6%
Draw
0-0
4.2%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
6.6%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.6%
38.8%
Win probability
1.6
Expected goals
0-1
6.7%
1-2
8.4%
2-3
3.5%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
19.5%
0-2
5.4%
1-3
4.5%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
11.5%
0-3
2.9%
1-4
1.8%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
5.2%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.9%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-7%
+8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sporting Braga
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Jan. 1955 |
SCP
5 - 2
SPB
88%
8%
4%
|
74 | 88 | 14 | 0 |
| 02 Jan. 1955 |
SPB
4 - 0
LGC
67%
17%
16%
|
73 | 67 | 6 | +1 |
| 12 Dec. 1954 |
BEL
2 - 3
SPB
68%
18%
14%
|
72 | 82 | 10 | +1 |
| 05 Dec. 1954 |
SPB
1 - 0
BOA
67%
18%
15%
|
72 | 62 | 10 | 0 |
| 21 Nov. 1954 |
SPB
2 - 1
SPC
66%
19%
16%
|
72 | 66 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Porto
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Jan. 1955 |
FCP
0 - 1
BEL
71%
16%
13%
|
83 | 82 | 1 | 0 |
| 02 Jan. 1955 |
FCP
2 - 0
SPC
81%
12%
8%
|
83 | 66 | 17 | 0 |
| 12 Dec. 1954 |
FAB
0 - 2
FCP
25%
22%
53%
|
83 | 62 | 21 | 0 |
| 21 Nov. 1954 |
FCP
5 - 0
BOA
80%
12%
8%
|
83 | 62 | 21 | 0 |
| 14 Nov. 1954 |
SLB
1 - 0
FCP
78%
13%
9%
|
83 | 88 | 5 | 0 |