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Primeira Liga. Matchday 24

Sporting Braga vs Benfica analysis

Sporting Braga Benfica
84 ELO 89
3% Tilt 3%
45º General ELO ranking 21º
Country ELO ranking
ELO win probability
40.1%
Sporting Braga
27.3%
Draw
32.6%
Benfica

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
40.1%
Win probability
Sporting Braga
1.3
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.4%
3-0
3.2%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.5%
2-0
7.3%
3-1
3.6%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.7%
1-0
11.3%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22%
27.3%
Draw
0-0
8.7%
1-1
12.9%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.3%
32.6%
Win probability
Benfica
1.14
Expected goals
0-1
10%
1-2
7.4%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
19.4%
0-2
5.7%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.1%
0-3
2.2%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
-3
3.1%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Sporting Braga
+6%
-19%
Benfica

Basic stats

37
63
POS
8
10
SOT
2
1
COR
0
2
GF
2
0
GC
84
89
ELO
1.3
1.1
EXP
Key
POS
Ball possession
SOT
Total shots
COR
Corners
GF
Goals for
GC
Goals against
ELO
Team's ELO rating
EXP
Expected goals for the team

Points and table prediction

Sporting Braga
Their league position
Benfica
CURR.POS.
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
64
17º
76
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
Current table Final expectations
PK PTS. PTS. RK PROB
Sporting CP
85
85
100%
Porto
80
80
100%
Benfica
76
76
100%
Sporting Braga
64
64
100%
Paços de Ferreira
53
53
100%
CD Santa Clara
46
46
100%
Vitória Guimarães
43
43
50%
Moreirense
43
43
50%
Famalicão
40
40
50%
Belenenses SAD
10º
40
40
10º
50%
Gil Vicente
11º
39
39
11º
100%
Tondela
12º
36
36
12º
50%
Boavista
13º
36
36
13º
50%
Portimonense
14º
35
35
14º
50%
Marítimo
15º
35
35
15º
50%
Rio Ave
16º
34
34
16º
100%
Farense
17º
31
31
17º
100%
Nacional
18º
25
25
18º
100%
Expected probabilities
Sporting Braga
Benfica
Champion
0% 0%
Champions League
0% 0%
UCL qualifying
0% 100%
Europa League
100% 0%
Europa Conference League
0% 0%
Mid-table
0% 0%
Relegation playoffs
0% 0%
Relegation
0% 0%

ELO progression

Benfica
SLB
Sporting Braga
SPB
Farense
FAR
Marítimo
MAR
Paços de Ferreira
PAÇ
Os Belenenses
BEL
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Sporting Braga
Sporting Braga
1%
X%
2%
ELO SPB ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
15 Mar. 2021
FAM
Famalicão
2 - 2
Sporting Braga
SPB
22%
24%
54%
2757 1554 -1203 -7
09 Mar. 2021
SPB
Sporting Braga
3 - 0
Vitória Guimarães
VIT
57%
23%
20%
2745 2435 310 +12
03 Mar. 2021
FCP
Porto
2 - 3
Sporting Braga
SPB
60%
22%
18%
2729 3313 584 +19
28 Feb. 2021
NAC
Nacional
1 - 2
Sporting Braga
SPB
13%
19%
68%
2721 1212 -1509 +2
25 Feb. 2021
ROM
Roma
3 - 1
Sporting Braga
SPB
55%
24%
21%
2734 2949 215 -11

Matches

Benfica
Benfica
1%
X%
2%
ELO SLB ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
13 Mar. 2021
SLB
Benfica
2 - 0
Boavista
BOA
82%
12%
6%
3117 1604 1513 +2
08 Mar. 2021
BEL
Belenenses SAD
0 - 3
Benfica
SLB
24%
24%
53%
3110 1912 -1198 +7
04 Mar. 2021
SLB
Benfica
2 - 0
Estoril
EST
84%
11%
5%
3108 1486 1622 +5
01 Mar. 2021
SLB
Benfica
2 - 0
Rio Ave
RIO
79%
14%
7%
3101 2014 1087 +4
25 Feb. 2021
ARS
Arsenal
3 - 2
Benfica
SLB
51%
26%
23%
3112 3084 -28 -8