Sporting Braga vs Benfica analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
45.3%
Win probability
1.6
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.3%
3-0
3.9%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.3%
2-0
7.3%
3-1
4.9%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.7%
1-0
9.2%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.1%
24.6%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.6%
30.1%
Win probability
1.26
Expected goals
0-1
7.2%
1-2
7.3%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
17.4%
0-2
4.6%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.5%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.1%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-9%
+8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sporting Braga
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Feb. 2013 |
SPB
3 - 2
VIT
71%
18%
11%
|
88 | 78 | 10 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 2013 |
RIO
1 - 1
SPB
20%
24%
56%
|
88 | 76 | 12 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 2013 |
SPB
2 - 3
PAÇ
66%
20%
14%
|
88 | 81 | 7 | 0 |
| 03 Feb. 2013 |
BMA
3 - 3
SPB
16%
23%
61%
|
88 | 67 | 21 | 0 |
| 26 Jan. 2013 |
SPB
1 - 2
SLB
45%
25%
30%
|
88 | 88 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Benfica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Feb. 2013 |
SLB
3 - 0
PAÇ
72%
17%
11%
|
88 | 82 | 6 | 0 |
| 21 Feb. 2013 |
SLB
2 - 1
LEV
50%
22%
28%
|
88 | 88 | 0 | 0 |
| 17 Feb. 2013 |
SLB
1 - 0
ACA
80%
13%
7%
|
88 | 75 | 13 | 0 |
| 14 Feb. 2013 |
LEV
0 - 1
SLB
48%
24%
28%
|
88 | 88 | 0 | 0 |
| 10 Feb. 2013 |
NAC
2 - 2
SLB
23%
24%
53%
|
88 | 77 | 11 | 0 |