Sporting Braga vs Académica analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
64.5%
Win probability
1.94
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.9%
4-0
3.9%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.2%
3-0
8%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.5%
2-0
12.4%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.9%
1-0
12.8%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.2%
21.1%
Draw
0-0
6.6%
1-1
10%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.1%
14.4%
Win probability
0.78
Expected goals
0-1
5.2%
1-2
3.9%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
10.2%
0-2
2%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+7%
-2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sporting Braga
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Jan. 2005 |
SPB
0 - 0
MOR
64%
22%
15%
|
76 | 70 | 6 | 0 |
| 12 Jan. 2005 |
ODI
1 - 2
SPB
7%
16%
78%
|
76 | 16 | 60 | 0 |
| 09 Jan. 2005 |
BMA
1 - 4
SPB
40%
27%
34%
|
76 | 66 | 10 | 0 |
| 04 Jan. 2005 |
CEL
3 - 2
SPB
68%
20%
12%
|
76 | 86 | 10 | 0 |
| 18 Dec. 2004 |
SPB
3 - 0
BOA
43%
27%
30%
|
75 | 80 | 5 | +1 |
Matches
Académica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Jan. 2005 |
ACA
0 - 0
FCP
18%
26%
56%
|
67 | 88 | 21 | 0 |
| 12 Jan. 2005 |
RIO
0 - 2
ACA
62%
22%
17%
|
66 | 74 | 8 | +1 |
| 09 Jan. 2005 |
MOR
1 - 0
ACA
55%
24%
21%
|
66 | 69 | 3 | 0 |
| 19 Dec. 2004 |
ACA
1 - 1
BMA
50%
25%
25%
|
66 | 66 | 0 | 0 |
| 10 Dec. 2004 |
BOA
1 - 0
ACA
56%
26%
18%
|
66 | 80 | 14 | 0 |