Sporting Braga vs Académica analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
64.4%
Win probability
1.84
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.7%
4-0
3.7%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.8%
3-0
8.1%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.1%
2-0
13.3%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20%
1-0
14.5%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
26.1%
21.9%
Draw
0-0
7.9%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
3.3%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
21.9%
13.7%
Win probability
0.71
Expected goals
0-1
5.6%
1-2
3.6%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
10%
0-2
2%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
-8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sporting Braga
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 May. 1978 |
SLB
0 - 0
SPB
80%
13%
7%
|
75 | 88 | 13 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 1978 |
SPB
2 - 0
POR
67%
21%
12%
|
75 | 65 | 10 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 1978 |
FCP
4 - 1
SPB
84%
11%
5%
|
75 | 87 | 12 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 1978 |
ESP
1 - 0
SPB
33%
28%
40%
|
76 | 57 | 19 | -1 |
| 09 Apr. 1978 |
SPB
2 - 1
BOA
54%
25%
21%
|
75 | 77 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Académica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 May. 1978 |
MAR
2 - 0
ACA
43%
29%
29%
|
69 | 60 | 9 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 1978 |
ACA
0 - 3
SLB
26%
27%
47%
|
70 | 88 | 18 | -1 |
| 16 Apr. 1978 |
POR
1 - 0
ACA
49%
27%
24%
|
70 | 64 | 6 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 1978 |
ACA
2 - 0
ESP
71%
19%
11%
|
70 | 58 | 12 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 1978 |
BOA
1 - 1
ACA
66%
21%
13%
|
70 | 77 | 7 | 0 |