Sporting Braga II vs Fafe analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
75%
Win probability
2.37
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.2%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.5%
5-0
2.9%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.8%
4-0
6.2%
5-1
2%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.5%
3-0
10.5%
4-1
4.2%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
15.5%
2-0
13.3%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
22%
1-0
11.2%
2-1
9%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.1%
16.1%
Draw
0-0
4.8%
1-1
7.6%
2-2
3.1%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
16.1%
8.9%
Win probability
0.68
Expected goals
0-1
3.2%
1-2
2.6%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
6.6%
0-2
1.1%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.8%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+47%
+62%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
35
4º
10º
4º
25
6º
11º
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
9º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
44 | 44 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
40 | 40 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
36 | 36 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
|
4º
|
35 | 35 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
33 | 33 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
30 | 30 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
29 | 29 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
28 | 28 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
|
9º
|
25 | 25 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
23 | 23 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
21 | 21 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
12 | 12 |
12º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion play-offs
|
100% | 0% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sporting Braga II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Oct. 2022 |
VSC
2 - 2
BRA
32%
25%
44%
|
42 | 35 | 7 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 2022 |
PAR
0 - 1
BRA
37%
28%
35%
|
41 | 44 | 3 | +1 |
| 04 Sep. 2022 |
BRA
2 - 1
CAN
62%
22%
17%
|
41 | 39 | 2 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 2022 |
VIL
1 - 0
BRA
40%
24%
36%
|
42 | 39 | 3 | -1 |
| 19 Aug. 2022 |
BRA
1 - 1
VAR
28%
28%
44%
|
42 | 56 | 14 | 0 |
Matches
Fafe
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Oct. 2022 |
FAF
0 - 0
PAR
30%
29%
41%
|
32 | 43 | 11 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 2022 |
FAF
1 - 2
ANA
43%
25%
32%
|
33 | 35 | 2 | -1 |
| 17 Sep. 2022 |
CAN
1 - 0
FAF
57%
22%
21%
|
34 | 38 | 4 | -1 |
| 11 Sep. 2022 |
FAF
5 - 0
RIB
36%
22%
41%
|
32 | 34 | 2 | +2 |
| 04 Sep. 2022 |
FAF
0 - 3
VIL
32%
26%
42%
|
34 | 40 | 6 | -2 |