Siegen Sportfreunde vs Mainz 05 II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
63.8%
Win probability
1.89
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.8%
4-0
3.7%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.9%
3-0
7.8%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.2%
2-0
12.4%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.7%
1-0
13.1%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.4%
21.5%
Draw
0-0
7%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.5%
14.7%
Win probability
0.78
Expected goals
0-1
5.4%
1-2
3.9%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
10.4%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+60%
+19%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Siegen Sportfreunde
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 May. 2005 |
SPO
2 - 1
BAY
35%
25%
40%
|
58 | 63 | 5 | 0 |
| 17 May. 2005 |
TUS
0 - 1
SPO
29%
27%
44%
|
58 | 48 | 10 | 0 |
| 14 May. 2005 |
HOF
3 - 0
SPO
45%
25%
29%
|
59 | 54 | 5 | -1 |
| 06 May. 2005 |
SPO
2 - 0
ELV
54%
24%
22%
|
58 | 52 | 6 | +1 |
| 29 Apr. 2005 |
SSV
1 - 0
SPO
44%
26%
31%
|
59 | 58 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Mainz 05 II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 May. 2005 |
186
3 - 2
MAI
54%
25%
22%
|
48 | 49 | 1 | 0 |
| 15 May. 2005 |
MAI
1 - 1
BAY
23%
26%
51%
|
48 | 63 | 15 | 0 |
| 08 May. 2005 |
TUS
0 - 0
MAI
51%
26%
23%
|
48 | 49 | 1 | 0 |
| 04 May. 2005 |
VFR
1 - 1
MAI
68%
19%
13%
|
47 | 53 | 6 | +1 |
| 01 May. 2005 |
MAI
1 - 1
HOF
30%
27%
44%
|
47 | 55 | 8 | 0 |