Sport Recife vs Náutico analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
59.7%
Win probability
1.94
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.7%
4-0
3.2%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.6%
3-0
6.5%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.3%
2-0
10.1%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.3%
1-0
10.4%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.1%
21.7%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.7%
18.6%
Win probability
0.98
Expected goals
0-1
5.3%
1-2
5%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
12.2%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.7%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-29%
+24%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sport Recife
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Feb. 2009 |
CEN
1 - 3
SPO
13%
23%
64%
|
81 | 51 | 30 | 0 |
| 08 Feb. 2009 |
SAN
1 - 1
SPO
17%
24%
59%
|
81 | 54 | 27 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 2009 |
SPO
2 - 0
CAB
89%
9%
2%
|
81 | 37 | 44 | 0 |
| 31 Jan. 2009 |
SPO
3 - 1
PET
89%
9%
2%
|
81 | 30 | 51 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 2009 |
YPI
1 - 4
SPO
14%
23%
64%
|
81 | 46 | 35 | 0 |
Matches
Náutico
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Feb. 2009 |
NAU
1 - 0
POR
86%
10%
4%
|
77 | 44 | 33 | 0 |
| 07 Feb. 2009 |
NAU
2 - 1
PET
88%
9%
4%
|
77 | 28 | 49 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 2009 |
ACA
1 - 5
NAU
9%
18%
73%
|
77 | 26 | 51 | 0 |
| 01 Feb. 2009 |
NAU
2 - 2
SAN
84%
12%
4%
|
77 | 53 | 24 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 2009 |
SET
1 - 1
NAU
10%
18%
73%
|
77 | 30 | 47 | 0 |