Benfica Castelo Branco vs Cova Piedade analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
33%
Win probability
1.43
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.2%
3-0
2.2%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.9%
2-0
4.6%
3-1
3.7%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
9.6%
1-0
6.4%
2-1
7.7%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
17.9%
23.6%
Draw
0-0
4.5%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
6.4%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.6%
43.4%
Win probability
1.67
Expected goals
0-1
7.5%
1-2
9%
2-3
3.6%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
20.9%
0-2
6.3%
1-3
5%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
13%
0-3
3.5%
1-4
2.1%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
6.2%
0-4
1.5%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
2.3%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Benfica Castelo Branco
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Mar. 2016 |
BEN
1 - 2
1DE
55%
25%
20%
|
50 | 47 | 3 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 2016 |
MOU
0 - 0
BEN
27%
27%
46%
|
50 | 41 | 9 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 2016 |
PRA
1 - 1
BEN
34%
27%
38%
|
49 | 42 | 7 | +1 |
| 06 Mar. 2016 |
BEN
1 - 1
CAS
39%
27%
34%
|
50 | 54 | 4 | -1 |
| 28 Feb. 2016 |
ANG
0 - 0
BEN
38%
27%
36%
|
50 | 46 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Cova Piedade
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Mar. 2016 |
PRA
1 - 2
COV
23%
22%
55%
|
52 | 44 | 8 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 2016 |
COV
2 - 0
CAS
33%
26%
41%
|
51 | 55 | 4 | +1 |
| 13 Mar. 2016 |
ANG
2 - 2
COV
31%
24%
45%
|
50 | 45 | 5 | +1 |
| 06 Mar. 2016 |
COV
1 - 1
UDL
31%
25%
44%
|
51 | 54 | 3 | -1 |
| 28 Feb. 2016 |
MOU
1 - 2
COV
25%
24%
51%
|
50 | 43 | 7 | +1 |