Benfica Castelo Branco vs AD Nogueirense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
69.8%
Win probability
2.25
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.1%
5-0
2.2%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3%
4-0
5%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.1%
3-0
8.8%
4-1
4%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13.7%
2-0
11.8%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.9%
1-0
10.5%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.6%
18.1%
Draw
0-0
4.7%
1-1
8.6%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
18.1%
12.1%
Win probability
0.82
Expected goals
0-1
3.8%
1-2
3.5%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
8.6%
0-2
1.6%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.7%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Benfica Castelo Branco
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Oct. 2018 |
PEN
0 - 1
BEN
13%
23%
64%
|
44 | 25 | 19 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 2018 |
BEN
6 - 0
OLE
61%
21%
18%
|
43 | 39 | 4 | +1 |
| 16 Sep. 2018 |
ALV
2 - 0
BEN
14%
22%
64%
|
45 | 23 | 22 | -2 |
| 09 Sep. 2018 |
BEN
1 - 2
UDL
30%
25%
45%
|
46 | 52 | 6 | -1 |
| 02 Sep. 2018 |
BEN
3 - 1
CAL
55%
23%
22%
|
45 | 44 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
AD Nogueirense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Oct. 2018 |
ADN
0 - 1
LOU
39%
27%
34%
|
37 | 39 | 2 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 2018 |
PEN
0 - 1
ADN
23%
24%
53%
|
37 | 27 | 10 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 2018 |
ADN
3 - 1
MAC
87%
10%
4%
|
37 | 13 | 24 | 0 |
| 09 Sep. 2018 |
SAN
2 - 0
ADN
60%
23%
18%
|
38 | 44 | 6 | -1 |
| 02 Sep. 2018 |
OLE
0 - 1
ADN
45%
26%
29%
|
37 | 37 | 0 | +1 |