Q. Europa League Tercera Ronda Final
Global 0-2
Split vs Fulham analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
32.6%
Win probability
1.08
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.7%
3-0
2.1%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.9%
2-0
5.9%
3-1
2.6%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
9%
1-0
10.9%
2-1
7.2%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.8%
28.3%
Draw
0-0
10.1%
1-1
13.2%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
28.3%
39%
Win probability
1.21
Expected goals
0-1
12.2%
1-2
8%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
22.2%
0-2
7.4%
1-3
3.2%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
11.2%
0-3
3%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.1%
-3
4.1%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Split
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Jul. 2011 |
HNK
2 - 1
SPL
49%
27%
25%
|
73 | 75 | 2 | 0 |
| 21 Jul. 2011 |
SPL
3 - 1
DOM
42%
26%
32%
|
73 | 78 | 5 | 0 |
| 14 Jul. 2011 |
DOM
1 - 2
SPL
62%
21%
17%
|
73 | 77 | 4 | 0 |
| 21 May. 2011 |
DZG
1 - 1
SPL
70%
19%
11%
|
72 | 85 | 13 | +1 |
| 14 May. 2011 |
SPL
1 - 0
HDR
63%
22%
16%
|
72 | 64 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Fulham
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Jul. 2011 |
FUL
4 - 0
CRU
73%
17%
10%
|
87 | 71 | 16 | 0 |
| 14 Jul. 2011 |
CRU
1 - 3
FUL
33%
27%
40%
|
87 | 71 | 16 | 0 |
| 07 Jul. 2011 |
NSI
0 - 0
FUL
18%
27%
55%
|
87 | 63 | 24 | 0 |
| 30 Jun. 2011 |
FUL
3 - 0
NSI
79%
14%
7%
|
87 | 63 | 24 | 0 |
| 22 May. 2011 |
FUL
2 - 2
ARS
24%
23%
54%
|
87 | 91 | 4 | 0 |