2. HNL Round 20

Split vs Bjelovar analysis

Split Bjelovar
53 ELO 49
-2.5% Tilt 5.7%
22092º General ELO ranking 3746º
103º Country ELO ranking 26º
ELO win probability
57.6%
Split
22.9%
Draw
19.5%
Bjelovar

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
57.6%
Win probability
Split
1.81
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.8%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.9%
3-0
6.3%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.4%
2-0
10.4%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.8%
1-0
11.5%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.6%
22.9%
Draw
0-0
6.4%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.9%
19.5%
Win probability
Bjelovar
0.95
Expected goals
0-1
6%
1-2
5.2%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.9%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.9%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Split
+26%
+25%
Bjelovar

ELO progression

Split
Bjelovar
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Split
Split
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
05 Mar. 2000
SPL
Split
1 - 3
Zadar
ZAD
28%
26%
46%
53 65 12 0
28 Nov. 1999
SPL
Split
1 - 3
NK Jadran LP
JAD
52%
25%
24%
55 54 1 -2
21 Nov. 1999
MOS
Mosor
4 - 1
Split
SPL
48%
25%
28%
56 56 0 -1
14 Nov. 1999
SPL
Split
0 - 0
Pomorac
POM
35%
26%
39%
56 64 8 0
07 Nov. 1999
VRB
Vrbovec
5 - 1
Split
SPL
35%
26%
39%
57 50 7 -1

Matches

Bjelovar
Bjelovar
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
12 Mar. 2000
BJE
Bjelovar
0 - 3
HNK Orijent Rijeka
ORI
39%
27%
35%
51 53 2 0
05 Mar. 2000
NKC
NK Croatia Sesvete
2 - 1
Bjelovar
BJE
49%
24%
27%
51 50 1 0
28 Nov. 1999
ZAG
Zagorec
0 - 1
Bjelovar
BJE
44%
25%
31%
51 49 2 0
21 Nov. 1999
BJE
Bjelovar
0 - 1
NK Solin
SOL
41%
27%
32%
51 53 2 0
14 Nov. 1999
BJE
Bjelovar
1 - 0
Marsonia
MAR
20%
25%
55%
50 68 18 +1