Spielberg vs Nottingen analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
24.1%
Win probability
1.22
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.6%
3-0
1.3%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.3%
2-0
3.2%
3-1
2.5%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
6.6%
1-0
5.3%
2-1
6.2%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
14.4%
22.2%
Draw
0-0
4.4%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.2%
53.7%
Win probability
1.92
Expected goals
0-1
8.3%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
3.8%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.7%
0-2
8%
1-3
6.2%
2-4
1.8%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
16.4%
0-3
5.1%
1-4
3%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
-3
8.9%
0-4
2.5%
1-5
1.1%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
3.8%
0-5
0.9%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.4%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+61%
+149%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Spielberg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Sep. 2011 |
KEH
3 - 1
SPI
57%
21%
22%
|
22 | 28 | 6 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 2011 |
SPI
1 - 2
STU
28%
22%
50%
|
23 | 31 | 8 | -1 |
| 03 Sep. 2011 |
ILL
4 - 2
SPI
62%
20%
18%
|
23 | 33 | 10 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 2011 |
SPI
5 - 3
AST
30%
24%
46%
|
21 | 31 | 10 | +2 |
| 28 Aug. 2011 |
BON
3 - 3
SPI
35%
23%
42%
|
21 | 17 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Nottingen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Sep. 2011 |
NOT
1 - 1
VIL
47%
24%
28%
|
35 | 38 | 3 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 2011 |
NOT
0 - 2
BAL
65%
19%
16%
|
36 | 30 | 6 | -1 |
| 10 Sep. 2011 |
ULM
2 - 2
NOT
72%
17%
11%
|
36 | 47 | 11 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 2011 |
NOT
1 - 3
NEC
62%
20%
19%
|
37 | 33 | 4 | -1 |
| 31 Aug. 2011 |
NOR
1 - 4
NOT
38%
24%
38%
|
36 | 30 | 6 | +1 |