Spezia Sub 19 vs Parma Sub 19 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
77.9%
Win probability
2.67
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.8%
6-0
1.6%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2.2%
5-0
3.7%
6-1
1.2%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
5.1%
4-0
6.9%
5-1
2.8%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
<0%
+4
10.2%
3-0
10.3%
4-1
5.2%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
16.7%
2-0
11.6%
3-1
7.8%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.7%
1-0
8.7%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.9%
14%
Draw
0-0
3.3%
1-1
6.6%
2-2
3.3%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
14%
8.1%
Win probability
0.75
Expected goals
0-1
2.5%
1-2
2.5%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
5.9%
0-2
0.9%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
1.7%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
-25%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Spezia Sub 19
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Mar. 2019 |
SPA
1 - 3
SPE
54%
21%
25%
|
30 | 34 | 4 | 0 |
| 02 Mar. 2019 |
SPE
0 - 0
CIT
82%
12%
6%
|
30 | 17 | 13 | 0 |
| 23 Feb. 2019 |
BRE
3 - 2
SPE
25%
22%
53%
|
32 | 22 | 10 | -2 |
| 16 Feb. 2019 |
SPE
1 - 2
CAR
83%
12%
5%
|
32 | 17 | 15 | 0 |
| 09 Feb. 2019 |
SPE
2 - 0
VEN
39%
22%
40%
|
30 | 34 | 4 | +2 |
Matches
Parma Sub 19
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Mar. 2019 |
PAR
1 - 2
VER
28%
24%
48%
|
19 | 25 | 6 | 0 |
| 02 Mar. 2019 |
BOL
2 - 2
PAR
71%
18%
11%
|
18 | 33 | 15 | +1 |
| 23 Feb. 2019 |
PAR
2 - 4
VEN
16%
18%
67%
|
19 | 32 | 13 | -1 |
| 16 Feb. 2019 |
PAD
1 - 1
PAR
63%
20%
17%
|
19 | 27 | 8 | 0 |
| 09 Feb. 2019 |
PAR
0 - 2
CRE
23%
22%
55%
|
20 | 29 | 9 | -1 |