Cup . Last 16
Global 1-8
Spartak Varna vs Litex Lovech analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
17.6%
Win probability
0.87
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.7%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.1%
2-0
2.6%
3-1
1.4%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.2%
1-0
5.9%
2-1
4.7%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
12%
22.6%
Draw
0-0
6.7%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.6%
59.8%
Win probability
1.83
Expected goals
0-1
12.3%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
25.1%
0-2
11.2%
1-3
6%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.1%
-2
18.5%
0-3
6.8%
1-4
2.7%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
10%
0-4
3.1%
1-5
1%
2-6
0.1%
-4
4.2%
0-5
1.1%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.5%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+9%
+9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Spartak Varna
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Nov. 2012 |
SEP
1 - 2
SVA
37%
27%
37%
|
56 | 51 | 5 | 0 |
| 24 Nov. 2012 |
RAK
2 - 2
SVA
45%
23%
32%
|
56 | 54 | 2 | 0 |
| 18 Nov. 2012 |
SVA
0 - 1
LYU
46%
27%
27%
|
57 | 59 | 2 | -1 |
| 10 Nov. 2012 |
PIR
3 - 0
SVA
37%
27%
36%
|
58 | 53 | 5 | -1 |
| 04 Nov. 2012 |
SVA
1 - 1
CHA
45%
27%
28%
|
58 | 59 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Litex Lovech
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Nov. 2012 |
LSO
0 - 2
LOV
27%
27%
46%
|
78 | 65 | 13 | 0 |
| 23 Nov. 2012 |
LOV
2 - 0
LPL
59%
22%
19%
|
78 | 73 | 5 | 0 |
| 18 Nov. 2012 |
LOV
5 - 0
PIR
74%
18%
8%
|
77 | 61 | 16 | +1 |
| 10 Nov. 2012 |
BER
1 - 0
LOV
25%
27%
48%
|
78 | 67 | 11 | -1 |
| 04 Nov. 2012 |
LOV
4 - 1
CVA
53%
25%
22%
|
77 | 74 | 3 | +1 |