Spartak Varna vs Lokomotiv Mezdra analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
17.3%
Win probability
0.96
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.3%
3-0
0.8%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.2%
2-0
2.4%
3-1
1.5%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.3%
1-0
4.9%
2-1
4.8%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
11.5%
21%
Draw
0-0
5.1%
1-1
9.9%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
21%
61.7%
Win probability
2.01
Expected goals
0-1
10.3%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
3.2%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
24%
0-2
10.4%
1-3
6.7%
2-4
1.6%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
18.9%
0-3
6.9%
1-4
3.3%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
11%
0-4
3.5%
1-5
1.3%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
5.1%
0-5
1.4%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.9%
0-6
0.5%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.6%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Spartak Varna
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Apr. 2015 |
PIR
3 - 0
SVA
70%
19%
11%
|
39 | 53 | 14 | 0 |
| 18 Apr. 2015 |
SVA
0 - 3
BGA
33%
28%
39%
|
40 | 51 | 11 | -1 |
| 15 Apr. 2015 |
MAS
3 - 0
SVA
62%
22%
17%
|
41 | 49 | 8 | -1 |
| 09 Apr. 2015 |
SVA
0 - 3
MON
12%
23%
66%
|
42 | 67 | 25 | -1 |
| 04 Apr. 2015 |
SEP
3 - 0
SVA
57%
23%
20%
|
43 | 48 | 5 | -1 |
Matches
Lokomotiv Mezdra
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Apr. 2015 |
LOK
4 - 0
BVR
57%
22%
20%
|
52 | 52 | 0 | 0 |
| 18 Apr. 2015 |
DOB
2 - 1
LOK
46%
26%
28%
|
53 | 58 | 5 | -1 |
| 15 Apr. 2015 |
LOK
1 - 0
BAN
36%
26%
37%
|
52 | 60 | 8 | +1 |
| 09 Apr. 2015 |
VER
1 - 0
LOK
33%
24%
43%
|
53 | 45 | 8 | -1 |
| 04 Apr. 2015 |
LOK
2 - 0
CHB
50%
24%
26%
|
51 | 55 | 4 | +2 |