Bulgaria Third Division Round 29

Spartak Plovdiv vs Nesebar analysis

Spartak Plovdiv Nesebar
39 ELO 46
-8.1% Tilt -11.9%
4179º General ELO ranking 5848º
33º Country ELO ranking 51º
ELO win probability
35.7%
Spartak Plovdiv
25.9%
Draw
38.4%
Nesebar

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
35.7%
Win probability
Spartak Plovdiv
1.32
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.2%
3-0
2.6%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4%
2-0
5.9%
3-1
3.5%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.3%
1-0
8.9%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.8%
25.9%
Draw
0-0
6.8%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.9%
38.4%
Win probability
Nesebar
1.37
Expected goals
0-1
9.3%
1-2
8.4%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
20.7%
0-2
6.4%
1-3
3.9%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
11.2%
0-3
2.9%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.5%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.4%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Spartak Plovdiv
+11%
+2%
Nesebar

ELO progression

Spartak Plovdiv
Nesebar
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Spartak Plovdiv
Spartak Plovdiv
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
27 Apr. 2013
BRE
Brestnik
2 - 0
Spartak Plovdiv
SPA
24%
25%
51%
42 26 16 0
24 Apr. 2013
SPA
Spartak Plovdiv
2 - 1
Sozopol
SOZ
56%
24%
20%
41 40 1 +1
20 Apr. 2013
SPA
Spartak Plovdiv
1 - 0
FK Haskovo 2009
FKH
48%
25%
27%
40 40 0 +1
13 Apr. 2013
BGA
Botev Galabovo
1 - 0
Spartak Plovdiv
SPA
63%
22%
16%
41 48 7 -1
06 Apr. 2013
SPA
Spartak Plovdiv
1 - 1
Asenovets
ASE
36%
25%
39%
41 46 5 0

Matches

Nesebar
Nesebar
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
28 Apr. 2013
NES
Nesebar
2 - 0
FK Haskovo 2009
FKH
55%
24%
22%
45 40 5 0
24 Apr. 2013
BGA
Botev Galabovo
3 - 1
Nesebar
NES
53%
24%
23%
46 49 3 -1
21 Apr. 2013
NES
Nesebar
2 - 1
Asenovets
ASE
42%
25%
33%
45 46 1 +1
14 Apr. 2013
HEB
Hebros
1 - 3
Nesebar
NES
11%
20%
69%
45 24 21 0
07 Apr. 2013
NES
Nesebar
1 - 0
Dimitrovgrad
DIM
57%
23%
20%
44 39 5 +1