B PFG Round 21

Spartak Pleven vs Ludogorets II analysis

Spartak Pleven Ludogorets II
54 ELO 60
5.4% Tilt 3.2%
4466º General ELO ranking 3876º
36º Country ELO ranking 28º
ELO win probability
33.8%
Spartak Pleven
26.7%
Draw
39.5%
Ludogorets II

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
33.8%
Win probability
Spartak Pleven
1.21
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1%
3-0
2.3%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.4%
2-0
5.8%
3-1
3.1%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9.5%
1-0
9.6%
2-1
7.7%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.6%
26.7%
Draw
0-0
7.9%
1-1
12.7%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.7%
39.5%
Win probability
Ludogorets II
1.33
Expected goals
0-1
10.5%
1-2
8.4%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
21.5%
0-2
7%
1-3
3.7%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
11.6%
0-3
3.1%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.6%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.4%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Spartak Pleven
-16%
-25%
Ludogorets II

Points and table prediction

Spartak Pleven
Their league position
Ludogorets II
CURR.POS.
11º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
42
11º
11º
57
18º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
Expected position in the table
Current table Final expectations
RK PTS. PTS. RK PROB
CSKA 1948 Sofia II
74
74
100%
Etar 1924
63
63
100%
Levski Krumovgrad
60
60
100%
Ludogorets II
57
57
100%
Sportist Svoge
52
52
100%
Dunav Ruse
50
50
100%
Maritsa Plovdiv
47
47
100%
Litex Lovech
44
44
0%
Montana
44
44
0%
Yantra Gabrovo
10º
44
44
10º
100%
Spartak Pleven
11º
42
42
11º
100%
Belasitsa
12º
41
41
12º
100%
Dobrudzha Dobrich
13º
39
39
13º
100%
Strumska Slava
14º
39
39
14º
100%
FK Minyor Pernik
15º
38
38
15º
100%
Sozopol
16º
38
38
16º
100%
Vitosha Bistritsa
17º
36
36
17º
100%
Botev Plovdiv II
18º
28
28
18º
100%
Expected probabilities
Spartak Pleven
Ludogorets II
Champion
0% 0%
Promotion
0% 0%
Mid-table
100% 100%
Promotion play-offs
0% 0%
Relegation
0% 0%

ELO progression

Spartak Pleven
Ludogorets II
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Spartak Pleven
Spartak Pleven
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
24 Feb. 2023
YAN
Yantra Gabrovo
1 - 0
Spartak Pleven
SPA
31%
26%
43%
56 52 4 0
19 Feb. 2023
SPA
Spartak Pleven
0 - 0
Sozopol
SOZ
66%
20%
14%
56 47 9 0
11 Feb. 2023
MAR
Maritsa Plovdiv
1 - 0
Spartak Pleven
SPA
44%
25%
31%
56 57 1 0
04 Feb. 2023
CSK
CSKA 1948 Sofia
4 - 0
Spartak Pleven
SPA
84%
11%
5%
56 78 22 0
14 Jan. 2023
BVR
Botev Vratsa
2 - 0
Spartak Pleven
SPA
59%
22%
19%
56 65 9 0

Matches

Ludogorets II
Ludogorets II
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
25 Feb. 2023
LUD
Ludogorets II
1 - 1
Strumska Slava
STR
61%
22%
17%
59 54 5 0
20 Feb. 2023
CSK
CSKA 1948 Sofia II
2 - 0
Ludogorets II
LUD
50%
26%
24%
60 64 4 -1
12 Feb. 2023
LUD
Ludogorets II
1 - 0
FK Minyor Pernik
FKM
55%
24%
21%
59 58 1 +1
21 Jan. 2023
YAN
Yantra Gabrovo
2 - 2
Ludogorets II
LUD
19%
22%
59%
59 51 8 0
18 Jan. 2023
LUD
Ludogorets II
1 - 2
Dunav Ruse
DUN
51%
22%
27%
59 57 2 0