Spartak Nalchik vs Tom Tomsk analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
57.4%
Win probability
1.71
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.7%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.6%
3-0
6.4%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.1%
2-0
11.2%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.8%
1-0
13%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.4%
23.8%
Draw
0-0
7.6%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.8%
18.8%
Win probability
0.86
Expected goals
0-1
6.6%
1-2
4.9%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
12.8%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.5%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Spartak Nalchik
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Apr. 2011 |
FCR
0 - 0
NAL
58%
25%
18%
|
78 | 85 | 7 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 2011 |
NAL
2 - 2
ZEN
27%
24%
48%
|
77 | 85 | 8 | +1 |
| 19 Mar. 2011 |
KRA
2 - 0
NAL
36%
27%
36%
|
78 | 68 | 10 | -1 |
| 12 Mar. 2011 |
NAL
1 - 0
KRS
52%
25%
24%
|
77 | 75 | 2 | +1 |
| 28 Nov. 2010 |
NAL
1 - 3
ANZ
60%
23%
18%
|
77 | 70 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Tom Tomsk
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Apr. 2011 |
TOM
0 - 0
ANZ
49%
26%
25%
|
74 | 72 | 2 | 0 |
| 04 Apr. 2011 |
TER
2 - 0
TOM
44%
28%
28%
|
74 | 72 | 2 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 2011 |
TOM
0 - 1
KUB
49%
26%
26%
|
74 | 73 | 1 | 0 |
| 14 Mar. 2011 |
VNN
2 - 0
TOM
47%
26%
27%
|
75 | 72 | 3 | -1 |
| 28 Nov. 2010 |
TOM
3 - 1
FCR
50%
26%
24%
|
74 | 72 | 2 | +1 |