Beloften Eredivisie Beloften Eredivisie round 4

Jong Sparta vs Willem II U21 analysis

Jong Sparta Willem II U21
22 ELO 20
11.5% Tilt 1.1%
3478º General ELO ranking 9332º
70º Country ELO ranking 130º
ELO win probability
63.2%
Jong Sparta
18.9%
Draw
17.9%
Willem II U21

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
63.2%
Win probability
Jong Sparta
2.33
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
1.7%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.7%
4-0
3.7%
5-1
2%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
6.3%
3-0
6.4%
4-1
4.3%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
12.1%
2-0
8.2%
3-1
7.5%
4-2
2.5%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
18.7%
1-0
7%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
4.4%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
22.1%
18.9%
Draw
0-0
3%
1-1
8.2%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
18.9%
17.9%
Win probability
Willem II U21
1.17
Expected goals
0-1
3.5%
1-2
4.8%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
11.1%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
4.7%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Jong Sparta
-21%
+83%
Willem II U21

ELO progression

Jong Sparta
Willem II U21
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Jong Sparta
Jong Sparta
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
27 Aug. 2012
FYN
Feyenoord U21
3 - 1
Jong Sparta
SPA
63%
19%
17%
22 26 4 0
20 Aug. 2012
RKC
RKC Waalwijk U21
1 - 1
Jong Sparta
SPA
56%
22%
23%
22 25 3 0
13 Aug. 2012
SPA
Jong Sparta
2 - 0
Utrecht U23
UTR
68%
18%
15%
21 19 2 +1
14 May. 2012
UTR
Utrecht U23
2 - 2
Jong Sparta
SPA
43%
23%
34%
20 18 2 +1
07 May. 2012
SPA
Jong Sparta
0 - 5
PSV U21
PSV
33%
23%
45%
21 28 7 -1

Matches

Willem II U21
Willem II U21
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
27 Aug. 2012
WIL
Willem II U21
1 - 3
Utrecht U23
UTR
60%
21%
19%
21 18 3 0
20 Aug. 2012
DOR
Dordrecht U21
0 - 4
Willem II U21
WIL
16%
20%
63%
21 12 9 0
13 Aug. 2012
WIL
Willem II U21
1 - 2
NAC Breda U21
NAC
47%
24%
30%
21 21 0 0
23 Apr. 2012
WIL
Willem II U21
1 - 0
Jong Volendam
VOL
54%
22%
24%
20 18 2 +1
19 Mar. 2012
VOL
Jong Volendam
1 - 3
Willem II U21
WIL
55%
22%
24%
19 19 0 +1