Jong Sparta vs HHC Hardenberg analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
36.3%
Win probability
1.45
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.4%
3-0
2.6%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.4%
2-0
5.4%
3-1
4%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
10.6%
1-0
7.4%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
19.3%
24.4%
Draw
0-0
5.1%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.4%
39.3%
Win probability
1.52
Expected goals
0-1
7.8%
1-2
8.6%
2-3
3.2%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
20.2%
0-2
5.9%
1-3
4.4%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
11.7%
0-3
3%
1-4
1.7%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
5.1%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.7%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+35%
-13%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
47
6º
18º
7º
44
1º
11º
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
9º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
76 | 79 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
68 | 71 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
58 | 61 |
3º
|
73.5% | |
|
4º
|
56 | 60 |
4º
|
63% | |
|
5º
|
53 | 56 |
5º
|
55% | |
|
6º
|
51 | 55 |
6º
|
68.5% | |
|
|
7º
|
47 | 50 |
7º
|
53% | |
|
8º
|
46 | 49 |
8º
|
31% | |
|
|
9º
|
44 | 47 |
9º
|
21% | |
|
10º
|
44 | 47 |
10º
|
22% | |
|
11º
|
44 | 47 |
11º
|
24.5% | |
|
12º
|
41 | 44 |
12º
|
60.5% | |
|
13º
|
38 | 41 |
13º
|
68% | |
|
14º
|
35 | 38 |
14º
|
52% | |
|
15º
|
32 | 35 |
15º
|
61% | |
|
16º
|
28 | 29 |
16º
|
97.5% | |
|
17º
|
20 | 21 |
17º
|
100% | |
|
18º
|
16 | 17 |
18º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Jong Sparta
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Jan. 2024 |
ADO
1 - 5
SPA
59%
21%
20%
|
47 | 52 | 5 | 0 |
| 13 Jan. 2024 |
SPA
3 - 1
ACV
24%
24%
53%
|
45 | 57 | 12 | +2 |
| 16 Dec. 2023 |
SPA
0 - 3
GVV
23%
24%
53%
|
46 | 58 | 12 | -1 |
| 09 Dec. 2023 |
EXC
0 - 1
SPA
31%
24%
46%
|
45 | 41 | 4 | +1 |
| 02 Dec. 2023 |
QUI
3 - 1
SPA
58%
22%
20%
|
46 | 53 | 7 | -1 |
Matches
HHC Hardenberg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Jan. 2024 |
HHC
1 - 2
ALK
24%
22%
55%
|
53 | 61 | 8 | 0 |
| 06 Jan. 2024 |
IJS
2 - 0
HHC
37%
23%
41%
|
53 | 51 | 2 | 0 |
| 20 Dec. 2023 |
HHC
2 - 3
AZA
7%
17%
77%
|
53 | 88 | 35 | 0 |
| 16 Dec. 2023 |
HHC
1 - 2
KAT
34%
26%
40%
|
54 | 58 | 4 | -1 |
| 09 Dec. 2023 |
AFC
2 - 2
HHC
43%
24%
33%
|
53 | 53 | 0 | +1 |