Sparta Praha vs Baník Ostrava analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
52.9%
Win probability
1.88
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.6%
3-0
5%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.6%
2-0
8%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.1%
1-0
8.6%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.7%
22.5%
Draw
0-0
4.6%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.5%
24.5%
Win probability
1.21
Expected goals
0-1
5.5%
1-2
6.3%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0.1%
-1
14.7%
0-2
3.3%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
6.7%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.3%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+8%
-8%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
62
1º
7º
4º
64
2º
10º
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
3º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
78 | 78 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
65 | 65 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
|
3º
|
64 | 64 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
|
4º
|
62 | 62 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
51 | 51 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
43 | 43 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
42 | 42 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
41 | 41 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
40 | 40 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
34 | 34 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
34 | 34 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
34 | 34 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
30 | 30 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
24 | 24 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
15º
|
19 | 19 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
16º
|
5 | 5 |
16º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Play-offs for the title
|
100% | 100% |
|
Next round
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sparta Praha
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Oct. 2024 |
SPA
4 - 0
ZBR
79%
13%
7%
|
83 | 63 | 20 | 0 |
| 27 Oct. 2024 |
VKP
1 - 0
SPA
43%
24%
33%
|
83 | 83 | 0 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 2024 |
MAC
5 - 0
SPA
89%
8%
3%
|
84 | 100 | 16 | -1 |
| 19 Oct. 2024 |
SPA
2 - 1
SLI
62%
21%
18%
|
83 | 79 | 4 | +1 |
| 06 Oct. 2024 |
SLP
2 - 1
SPA
49%
23%
29%
|
83 | 83 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Baník Ostrava
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Oct. 2024 |
SLO
1 - 3
BAN
22%
22%
56%
|
82 | 63 | 19 | 0 |
| 26 Oct. 2024 |
PAR
2 - 3
BAN
22%
26%
51%
|
82 | 72 | 10 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 2024 |
BAN
1 - 3
VKP
42%
25%
34%
|
82 | 83 | 1 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 2024 |
MBO
0 - 0
BAN
45%
24%
31%
|
82 | 80 | 2 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 2024 |
BAN
2 - 1
ESK
71%
18%
11%
|
82 | 67 | 15 | 0 |