Sparta Nijkerk vs Excelsior Maassluis analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
58.7%
Win probability
2.15
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2%
4-0
3.1%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.1%
3-0
5.7%
4-1
3.7%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
10.6%
2-0
8%
3-1
7%
4-2
2.3%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.6%
1-0
7.4%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
4.2%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
22.4%
20.4%
Draw
0-0
3.5%
1-1
9%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
20.4%
20.9%
Win probability
1.22
Expected goals
0-1
4.2%
1-2
5.5%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
12.7%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
5.6%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-16%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sparta Nijkerk
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Dec. 2014 |
IJS
0 - 2
SPA
64%
19%
17%
|
44 | 52 | 8 | 0 |
| 29 Nov. 2014 |
SPA
2 - 2
CAP
37%
24%
39%
|
44 | 51 | 7 | 0 |
| 22 Nov. 2014 |
HOE
0 - 0
SPA
44%
24%
31%
|
44 | 48 | 4 | 0 |
| 15 Nov. 2014 |
SPA
0 - 8
KOZ
26%
23%
52%
|
46 | 56 | 10 | -2 |
| 08 Nov. 2014 |
LIS
1 - 2
SPA
57%
21%
23%
|
44 | 49 | 5 | +2 |
Matches
Excelsior Maassluis
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Dec. 2014 |
EXC
1 - 1
GEN
43%
23%
34%
|
43 | 43 | 0 | 0 |
| 29 Nov. 2014 |
SCH
1 - 1
EXC
59%
21%
20%
|
43 | 49 | 6 | 0 |
| 22 Nov. 2014 |
EXC
0 - 1
BAR
32%
25%
43%
|
45 | 51 | 6 | -2 |
| 15 Nov. 2014 |
AJA
1 - 1
EXC
51%
23%
26%
|
44 | 47 | 3 | +1 |
| 08 Nov. 2014 |
EXC
1 - 0
GVV
17%
20%
63%
|
43 | 57 | 14 | +1 |