Non League Div One Northern Midlands Round 31

Spalding United vs Loughborough Dynamo FC analysis

Spalding United Loughborough Dynamo FC
36 ELO 25
-17.9% Tilt -19.9%
6087º General ELO ranking 22034º
205º Country ELO ranking 1016º
ELO win probability
66.9%
Spalding United
19.3%
Draw
13.8%
Loughborough Dynamo FC

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
66.9%
Win probability
Spalding United
2.14
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
1.9%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.5%
4-0
4.4%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.3%
3-0
8.2%
4-1
3.7%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.7%
2-0
11.5%
3-1
7%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.3%
1-0
10.7%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24%
19.3%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
9.1%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.3%
13.8%
Win probability
Loughborough Dynamo FC
0.86
Expected goals
0-1
4.3%
1-2
3.9%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
9.6%
0-2
1.8%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.2%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Spalding United
+13%
-21%
Loughborough Dynamo FC

Points and table prediction

Spalding United
Their league position
Loughborough Dynamo FC
CURR.POS.
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
75
49
16º
11º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
11º
Expected position in the table
Current table Final expectations
RK PTS. PTS. RK PROB
Stamford
86
87
100%
Halesowen Town
77
78
100%
Spalding United
75
75
100%
Sporting Khalsa
67
70
100%
Chasetown
65
68
34.5%
Coleshill Town FC
66
67
14.5%
Harborough Town
64
67
38%
Boldmere St. Michaels
64
65
17%
Corby Town
64
65
41.5%
Shepshed
10º
51
52
10º
30.5%
Loughborough Dynamo FC
11º
49
52
11º
30.5%
Sutton Coldfield Town
12º
47
48
12º
100%
Cambridge City
13º
44
44
13º
71%
Hinckley LR
14º
41
42
14º
34%
Bedworth United
15º
39
42
15º
31.5%
Gresley
16º
38
41
16º
46.5%
Dereham Town
17º
35
35
17º
100%
St. Neots Town
18º
32
32
18º
100%
Daventry Town
19º
24
24
19º
100%
Yaxley FC
20º
6
6
20º
100%
Expected probabilities
Spalding United
Loughborough Dynamo FC
Promotion
0% 0%
Promotion play-offs
100% 0%
Mid-table
0% 100%
Relegation play-offs
0% 0%
Relegation
0% 0%

ELO progression

Spalding United
Loughborough Dynamo FC
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Spalding United
Spalding United
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
25 Feb. 2023
CHA
Chasetown
1 - 0
Spalding United
SPA
35%
26%
39%
39 34 5 0
18 Feb. 2023
SPA
Spalding United
1 - 0
St. Neots Town
STN
72%
17%
11%
39 24 15 0
14 Feb. 2023
SHE
Shepshed
0 - 2
Spalding United
SPA
34%
25%
40%
39 32 7 0
11 Feb. 2023
SPA
Spalding United
0 - 1
Hinckley LR
LER
64%
20%
17%
39 31 8 0
07 Feb. 2023
SPA
Spalding United
2 - 0
Dereham Town
DER
72%
17%
11%
39 24 15 0

Matches

Loughborough Dynamo FC
Loughborough Dynamo FC
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
25 Feb. 2023
STA
Stamford
2 - 0
Loughborough Dynamo FC
LOU
83%
11%
6%
25 44 19 0
18 Feb. 2023
LOU
Loughborough Dynamo FC
4 - 1
Bedworth United
BED
50%
23%
28%
25 25 0 0
11 Feb. 2023
LOU
Loughborough Dynamo FC
2 - 3
Corby Town
COR
40%
23%
37%
26 27 1 -1
07 Feb. 2023
LOU
Loughborough Dynamo FC
0 - 2
Halesowen Town
HAL
20%
20%
60%
27 40 13 -1
04 Feb. 2023
COL
Coleshill Town FC
3 - 1
Loughborough Dynamo FC
LOU
66%
18%
16%
28 35 7 -1