SPAL vs Sestri Levante analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
78.4%
Win probability
2.5
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.5%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.8%
5-0
3.6%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4.6%
4-0
7.2%
5-1
2.2%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
9.7%
3-0
11.5%
4-1
4.4%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
16.7%
2-0
13.8%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.5%
1-0
11.1%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.2%
14.4%
Draw
0-0
4.4%
1-1
6.9%
2-2
2.6%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
14.4%
7.2%
Win probability
0.62
Expected goals
0-1
2.7%
1-2
2.1%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
5.5%
0-2
0.8%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.4%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
SPAL
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Oct. 2023 |
REC
1 - 0
SPA
16%
26%
59%
|
68 | 49 | 19 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 2023 |
CES
3 - 1
SPA
41%
28%
31%
|
69 | 63 | 6 | -1 |
| 23 Sep. 2023 |
SPA
1 - 2
ASL
78%
16%
7%
|
69 | 53 | 16 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 2023 |
JS2
0 - 1
SPA
15%
26%
59%
|
68 | 50 | 18 | +1 |
| 15 Sep. 2023 |
SPA
1 - 2
PRG
48%
26%
26%
|
68 | 70 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Sestri Levante
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Oct. 2023 |
PRG
1 - 0
SES
76%
17%
8%
|
51 | 70 | 19 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2023 |
SES
0 - 1
SAS
47%
28%
26%
|
51 | 51 | 0 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 2023 |
SES
1 - 2
PES
19%
25%
56%
|
51 | 62 | 11 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 2023 |
ACD
0 - 1
SES
70%
19%
11%
|
50 | 61 | 11 | +1 |
| 09 Sep. 2023 |
SES
0 - 1
ASL
46%
28%
26%
|
51 | 51 | 0 | -1 |