SPAL vs Genoa analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
55.4%
Win probability
1.52
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
<0%
+4
2.8%
3-0
6%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.9%
2-0
11.9%
3-1
4.5%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
<0%
+2
17.1%
1-0
15.7%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
+1
26.5%
26%
Draw
0-0
10.3%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
26%
18.6%
Win probability
0.75
Expected goals
0-1
7.8%
1-2
4.5%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
13.2%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
4.2%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-15%
+4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
SPAL
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Apr. 1969 |
BAR
2 - 1
SPA
57%
26%
18%
|
65 | 67 | 2 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 1969 |
USF
0 - 0
SPA
56%
26%
18%
|
65 | 70 | 5 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 1969 |
SPA
1 - 2
LAZ
55%
27%
18%
|
66 | 67 | 1 | -1 |
| 30 Mar. 1969 |
REG
2 - 1
SPA
51%
29%
21%
|
66 | 68 | 2 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 1969 |
SPA
0 - 0
LIV
65%
23%
12%
|
66 | 59 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Genoa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Apr. 1969 |
GEN
1 - 1
COM
58%
26%
17%
|
64 | 60 | 4 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 1969 |
TER
1 - 1
GEN
51%
26%
23%
|
64 | 62 | 2 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 1969 |
GEN
1 - 1
USF
40%
30%
30%
|
64 | 71 | 7 | 0 |
| 30 Mar. 1969 |
CAT
0 - 0
GEN
43%
31%
27%
|
64 | 61 | 3 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 1969 |
GEN
1 - 2
CES
56%
25%
20%
|
65 | 61 | 4 | -1 |