SPAL vs Frosinone analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
45.8%
Win probability
1.46
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2%
3-0
4.1%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6%
2-0
8.4%
3-1
4.4%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.8%
1-0
11.5%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.3%
26.2%
Draw
0-0
7.9%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.2%
28%
Win probability
1.08
Expected goals
0-1
8.5%
1-2
6.7%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
17.3%
0-2
4.6%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
7.5%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.4%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
-4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
SPAL
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Mar. 2017 |
CAR
1 - 4
SPA
49%
27%
24%
|
71 | 73 | 2 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 2017 |
SPA
2 - 0
CES
48%
26%
27%
|
70 | 70 | 0 | +1 |
| 04 Mar. 2017 |
SPA
1 - 1
PIS
64%
22%
14%
|
70 | 63 | 7 | 0 |
| 28 Feb. 2017 |
SAL
1 - 2
SPA
42%
28%
31%
|
70 | 65 | 5 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 2017 |
SPA
2 - 0
PRG
48%
26%
26%
|
69 | 70 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Frosinone
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Mar. 2017 |
FRO
3 - 1
VIC
64%
22%
14%
|
72 | 63 | 9 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 2017 |
BAR
1 - 0
FRO
43%
27%
31%
|
72 | 70 | 2 | 0 |
| 06 Mar. 2017 |
FRO
1 - 1
CTT
60%
23%
18%
|
72 | 64 | 8 | 0 |
| 28 Feb. 2017 |
PRG
1 - 1
FRO
33%
29%
38%
|
72 | 69 | 3 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 2017 |
FRO
1 - 0
VER
37%
26%
38%
|
72 | 76 | 4 | 0 |