SPAL vs Lecco analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
57.5%
Win probability
1.8
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.8%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.9%
3-0
6.2%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.4%
2-0
10.4%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.7%
1-0
11.6%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.6%
23%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
23%
19.5%
Win probability
0.94
Expected goals
0-1
6.1%
1-2
5.2%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.9%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.9%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-16%
-24%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
SPAL
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Sep. 2001 |
CAR
1 - 0
SPA
37%
28%
36%
|
60 | 53 | 7 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 2001 |
SPA
2 - 1
PAD
38%
27%
35%
|
59 | 66 | 7 | +1 |
| 12 May. 2001 |
SPA
2 - 2
SPE
48%
26%
26%
|
59 | 60 | 1 | 0 |
| 06 May. 2001 |
CES
3 - 2
SPA
59%
24%
17%
|
60 | 66 | 6 | -1 |
| 29 Apr. 2001 |
SPA
1 - 1
BRE
61%
22%
17%
|
60 | 55 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Lecco
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Sep. 2001 |
LEC
2 - 2
ABN
47%
26%
27%
|
56 | 56 | 0 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 2001 |
ACL
3 - 3
LEC
52%
25%
23%
|
56 | 58 | 2 | 0 |
| 12 May. 2001 |
MOD
2 - 0
LEC
65%
21%
14%
|
56 | 67 | 11 | 0 |
| 06 May. 2001 |
LEC
1 - 1
VAR
40%
28%
32%
|
56 | 61 | 5 | 0 |
| 29 Apr. 2001 |
ARZ
0 - 2
LEC
61%
22%
17%
|
55 | 60 | 5 | +1 |