SPAL vs Ascoli analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
62.3%
Win probability
1.86
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.6%
4-0
3.5%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.6%
3-0
7.4%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.7%
2-0
12%
3-1
6%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.3%
1-0
13%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.4%
22%
Draw
0-0
7%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
22%
15.7%
Win probability
0.8
Expected goals
0-1
5.6%
1-2
4.2%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
11%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.6%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-19%
-4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
SPAL
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Apr. 2021 |
LEC
1 - 2
SPA
65%
20%
15%
|
70 | 74 | 4 | 0 |
| 05 Apr. 2021 |
SPA
1 - 1
VNZ
46%
27%
27%
|
70 | 71 | 1 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 2021 |
CHI
1 - 1
SPA
49%
27%
25%
|
70 | 72 | 2 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 2021 |
SPA
1 - 0
CTT
41%
27%
33%
|
69 | 72 | 3 | +1 |
| 15 Mar. 2021 |
PIS
3 - 0
SPA
36%
29%
35%
|
71 | 67 | 4 | -2 |
Matches
Ascoli
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Apr. 2021 |
ASC
1 - 0
ASS
36%
28%
36%
|
61 | 68 | 7 | 0 |
| 05 Apr. 2021 |
ASC
2 - 1
VIC
35%
26%
39%
|
61 | 66 | 5 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 2021 |
NUO
2 - 1
ASC
45%
28%
27%
|
61 | 66 | 5 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 2021 |
ASC
0 - 0
USC
36%
28%
36%
|
61 | 69 | 8 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 2021 |
PES
2 - 3
ASC
49%
25%
26%
|
60 | 60 | 0 | +1 |