SPAL vs Reggiana analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
48.1%
Win probability
1.45
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.1%
3-0
4.5%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.3%
2-0
9.3%
3-1
4.4%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.5%
1-0
12.9%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.3%
26.6%
Draw
0-0
8.9%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.6%
25.3%
Win probability
0.97
Expected goals
0-1
8.7%
1-2
6.1%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
16.3%
0-2
4.2%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
6.5%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-37%
+7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
SPAL
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Dec. 2006 |
PAG
2 - 1
SPA
32%
28%
40%
|
57 | 46 | 11 | 0 |
| 26 Nov. 2006 |
SPA
5 - 2
ACS
65%
22%
13%
|
56 | 45 | 11 | +1 |
| 19 Nov. 2006 |
SPA
3 - 1
RIE
74%
17%
8%
|
56 | 40 | 16 | 0 |
| 12 Nov. 2006 |
CAR
0 - 0
SPA
31%
30%
39%
|
56 | 51 | 5 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 2006 |
SPA
1 - 0
ASG
60%
24%
16%
|
56 | 49 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Reggiana
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Dec. 2006 |
REG
4 - 0
SSC
68%
20%
12%
|
54 | 40 | 14 | 0 |
| 26 Nov. 2006 |
FOL
2 - 2
REG
39%
27%
34%
|
54 | 51 | 3 | 0 |
| 19 Nov. 2006 |
REG
2 - 0
UCG
52%
26%
22%
|
53 | 48 | 5 | +1 |
| 12 Nov. 2006 |
CUO
0 - 2
REG
31%
26%
43%
|
53 | 46 | 7 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 2006 |
REG
2 - 2
ACP
56%
26%
18%
|
53 | 47 | 6 | 0 |